Barings BDC, Inc. Price & Performance (BBDC)

Please note that this call may contain forward looking statements that include statements regarding the company's goals, beliefs, strategies, future operating results and cash flows. Although the company believes these statements are reasonable, actual results could differ materially from those projected forward looking statements. These statements are based on various underlying assumptions and are subject to numerous uncertainties and risks, including those disclosed under the section titled Risk Factors in Forward Looking Statements in the company's quarterly report on Form 10 Q for the quarter ended December 31, 2024 as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Bearings BDC undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward looking statements unless required by law. I will now turn the call over to Eric Lloyd, Chief Executive Officer of Barings BDC.

Thanks, Joe, and good morning, everyone. We appreciate you joining us for today's call.

Please note that throughout today's call, we'll be referring to our fourth quarter twenty twenty four earnings presentation, is posted on the Investor Relations section of our website On the call today, I'm joined by Barings BDC's President, Matt Chief Financial Officer, Elizabeth Murray Behring's Head of Global Private Finance and BBGC Portfolio Manager, Ryan, hi.

In the fourth quarter of of in the fourth quarter, BBGC delivered another strong and consistent set of results. Fueled by best in class credit performance and the strength and stability of our franchise. Consistent with broader industry trends, lending activity during the first three quarters of twenty twenty four was somewhat muted. During the fourth quarter, we experienced a meaningful uptick in deployment both as part of add on transactions within the existing portfolio and for new buyouts by a number of our long standing sponsor clients, The result of this activity produced strong originations during the period that we are proud Strong deployment combined with benign credit environment and our focus on the top of capital structure investments in the middle market and combined to serve our investors well. Our focus on the core of the middle market is reflective of our lower leverage levels and more attractive risk adjusted returns. Which is why we find this to be the best segment of the market for BBDC and our shareholders. Consistent with how we have defined our strategy in past discussions, our portfolio strategy is outlined in greater detail on Slide five, and we continue to successfully invest throughout the market deliver compelling returns to our shareholders.

As we reflect on the full year 2024, the performance of BBDC has been strong. Total shareholder return during 2024 exceeded 24% and top quartile among publicly traded peers. These results were driven by a number of tailwinds. Some of which are specific to the industry and some of which are specific to Barings managed portfolios. Interest rates, while elevated, have been stable for several quarters. Credit performance has been has held up broadly across the industry, but has been particularly durable within BBDC. Deployment opportunities, as I previously noted, improved during December compared to 2023 the first half of twenty twenty four. While we closed 2024 on a strong and stable footing, have entered 2025 with caution. Economic data appears to be overwhelmingly positive. [indiscernible] namely cash flows, revenue growth and margins are all exhibiting positive trends. As Matt will discuss in great detail, we are optimistic that additional transaction activity will blossom in 2025. However, is equally as clear that uncertainty, particularly regulatory and trade uncertainties, have given private markets a pause.

As our investors know, are often investing in illiquid credit securities alongside private equity firms were investing in illiquid equity securities.

Regulatory shifts that have occurred only in the first two months of 2025 make it difficult for private capital investors to assess the possible shifts they may experience.

Over the coming three to five year hold horizons. Consequently, we remain cautious on the pace of new buyout opportunities and expect the size of the existing portfolio to continue to be providing compelling opportunities to invest. Add on transactions remain a compelling way for private of portfolio companies and our bearings to deploy capital into companies we already know. While not anticipated to the extent volatility is on the horizon, have confidence in our credit selection and believe our underwriting discipline will continue to provide stable the quarters to come. Turning to some specifics on BBDC. Net asset value per share was $11.29 substantially unchanged compared to $11.28 reported at the prior fiscal year end, a testament to the portfolio stability. Net investment income for the quarter $0.28 per share and out earned our dividend of $0.26 per share. Digging a bit deeper into the portfolio, we continue to actively maximize the value of the legacy holdings acquired Our goal remains to divest these assets at attractive values valuations as we did this quarter. Barings' originated positions are now 93% of the portfolio at fair value up from 76% at the beginning of twenty twenty two. As a reminder, potential losses from the acquired assets are protected by credit support agreements limiting downside risk for BBDC investors.

Our investment portfolio performed well during the fourth quarter. With the non accrual rate declining from a mere 50 basis points in September to 30 basis points as of December there is no substitute for fundamental credit analysis which has always been at the core of our investment philosophy is reflected in the health of the BBDC portfolio today. Including the acquired Sierra and MVC assets our total non accruals are the industry leading 0.3% on a fair value basis 1.6% of the portfolio on a cost basis. This is down from 1.5% on a fair value base basis and 2.5% on a cost basis as of 12/31/2023. Turning to the earnings power of the portfolio. The weighted average yields at fair value was 10.4%. We remain conservative on our base dividend policy and our Board declared a fourth quarter dividend of $0.26 per share consistent with the prior quarter. On an annualized basis, the dividend level equates to a 9.2% yield our net asset value of $11.29 As we have separately announced, our Board has also declared a $0.15 dividend of supplemental dividends that will be paid in three quarterly installments. Taken together with our regularly scheduled dividend, the dividend level equates to 11% yield based on December's net asset value we believe the best measures of the portfolio's performance non accruals, net asset value and NII were extremely compelling for the year ended December 2024 and we anticipate continued strength in the quarters ahead.

I'll now turn the call over to Matt.

Thanks, Eric. DVD is managed by Barings LLC.

A credit focused asset manager with over $420,000,000,000 of assets under management. The bulk of the portfolio is sourced from the global private finance team, an organization with more than 100 investment professionals located around the globe providing financing solutions to high quality market leading middle market companies sponsored by top tier private equity firms. BBDC deployed $298,000,000 of capital in the quarter, offset by $222,000,000 of sales and repayments, resulting in net sales and deployments of $76,000,000 reflecting one of the most active deployment quarters in recent history.

Repayments during the quarter included various non core positions acquired with Sierra Income's legacy portfolio.

Eric noted, we are executing on the strategy that we have been telegraphing for the past twenty four months.

Simplifying the portfolio and selectively investing in what we believe are the most compelling middle market direct lending opportunities in the market. During our prior call, we noted that we had started seeing green shoots related to new deployment Our growth in net originations during the quarter validated that anticipation.

Originations activity was fueled both by add on transactions as well as new issuer financings. The mix of our funding did skew somewhat towards add on activity at a higher rate than historical averages, which we believe was largely reflective of industry results during the period for scaled asset managers as Barings. As we evaluate forward looking activity into the balance of 2025, we remain cautious as Derek noted. Recall that the average transaction timeline from initial inbound activity to ultimate closed transactions typically ranges from three to six months. Initial inbound transactions initially increased following the November elections as we closed 2024, the volume of inbound activity started to recede, The deal landscape appears primed to support M and A activity in 2025. Supported by extended hold periods within private equity portfolios, interest rate stability and a positive economic indicators that Eric mentioned.

Juxtaposed against these favorable favorable characteristics, we have perceived in our private equity relationships and company management teams an underlying sense of uncertainty related to the intermediate outlook. Of this is to say that we are cautiously optimistic for the year ahead. Turning to our current portfolio, 72% of the portfolio consists of secured investments, approximately 69% constituting first lien securities. BBDC has experienced stabilization of interest coverage Barings 2024 and finished the quarter with a weighted average interest coverage of 2.2 times above industry averages and consistent with our results for the prior quarter. We believe strong interest coverage demonstrates the merits of our approach focusing on leading companies in defensive sectors and thoroughly underwriting their ability to weather a range of economic conditions. The portfolio composition remains highly diversified. The top 10 issuers accounting for 23.1% of the fair market value Recall that the top two positions within the portfolio, the Cliff Business Capital and Raked Barings our strategic platform investments that we own and provide BBDC shareholders with access to differentiated compelling opportunities to invest in asset backed securities, litigation funding solutions. Two areas we believe to provide attractive total returns well as diversification benefits for the broader portfolio. [indiscernible] Turning to portfolio quality.

Risk ratings exhibited minimal movement during the quarter as our issuer is exhibiting the most stress classified as risk ratings four and five were 11% on a combined basis quarter over quarter, compared to 10% in the immediately preceding quarter. Non accruals accounted for only $8,000,000 of fair market value, within the portfolio and 0.50.3% of fair market value which we believe is one of the lowest levels of non accruals across the industry. We remain confident in the credit quality of the portfolio. We expect BBDC's differentiated reach and scale coupled with its core focus on the middle market credit and focus on shareholder and our focus on shareholders will continue driving positive outcome in the quarters and years to come. BBDC portfolio is a through the cycle portfolio designed to withstand a variety of economic environment and prevailing interest rate levels. To this end, BBDC was structured to align both fees and credit performance hurdles with shareholders. Before turning the call over to Elizabeth, like to share an observation from an industry The presenters were focused on trying to dissect the causes of PIK interest in income and specifically whether PIK signaled portfolio distress that could manifest itself in the quarters to come.

I found the results to be confirmatory to our understanding, but wanted to offer this anecdote to the audience. The presenters analyzed the presenters analyzed a large pool of loans and noted that [indiscernible] Nearly 60% of those loans had a PIK component during the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four, it did not have a PIK component at the time of the original underwriting. Of this pool of loans with modified PIK, EBITDA experienced a negative CAGR of approximately 20% and loan to value substantially increased since the time of the original underwriting. Stress in the portfolio. Now take the opportunity to call out that Bearings' Barings interest income during the quarter was 5.1% of total investment income and compared to our trailing 55.7%. This combination of data points serves as the reinforcement to the discipline and quality underwriting within the portfolio.

Now turn the call over to Elizabeth.

Thanks, Matt. On Slide 15, you can see the full bridge of the NAV per share movement in the fourth quarter. NAV per share was $11.29 as of December 31, which is a decrease of 0.2% over the prior quarter and an increase of 0.1% year over year. Our net investment income exceeded the $0.26 per share dividend by $0.02 Net unrealized appreciation from investments CSAs and FX equaled $0.08 and was offset by net realized losses on the portfolio and FX of $0.13 per share. Net realized loss on the portfolio was predominantly due to this The valuation of the credit support agreements increased by The fair value of the CRS CSA increased from $32,200,000 in the third quarter to $44,200,000 as of December 31. During the fourth quarter, the Sierra portfolio had sales and repayments of approximately $12,500,000 and had 23 positions remaining in the portfolio, down from 28 positions as of September 30. Year over year, we rotated out of approximately 100000045% of the remaining Sierra portfolio in 2024. Investment income was $0.28 per share for the quarter or $0.3 per share on a pretax basis compared to $0.29 per share in the prior quarter and $0.31 per share for the fourth quarter of twenty twenty three.

For the year, net investment income was $1.24 per share compared to $1.2 per share for 2023. Investment income in the quarter was primarily driven by dividends from joint venture and platforms investments and a fees associated with repayment activity. Is partially offset by a slight decline in interest income associated with the impact of decline in yields when the portfolio's base rates are lower quarter over quarter. Incentive fee expense is slightly higher, but continued to be at a normalized level. Our net leverage ratio, which is defined as regulatory leverage net of unrestricted cash was 1.16 times at quarter end, up slightly from 1.09. In the quarter ended September 30, and it currently sits within our long term range of 0.9 to 1.25 times. Our current leverage provides ample capacity to seize opportunities and Our funding mix remains highly defensible in terms of seniority and asset class, including the significant level of support provided by the unsecured debt and our capital structure. At December 31, our unsecured debt accounted for $1,000,000,000 of our fundings and equated to approximately 70% of our outstanding debt balances. We maintain a diversified funding mix by maturity, counterparty and type. And have a limited near term of maturities on our debt outstanding with our ladder of maturities at extending to 2029.

BBDC, currently has three twenty three million of unfunded commitments to our portfolio companies as well as $65,000,000 of outstanding commitments to our joint venture investments. Our overall liquidity remains strong with over $464,000,000 of available capital and we are well positioned to continue to support our unfunded commitments and new origination activity. As mentioned earlier, the Board declared a fourth quarter dividend on net asset value. Special dividends will be paid in three equal quarterly installments of $0.05 per share in each of the first three quarters of twenty twenty plan and purchased 150,000 shares in the fourth quarter for a total of over 650,000 shares during 2024. In addition, the Board authorized a new 30,000,000 share repurchase plan for 2025. Our focus on share repurchases is one example of BBDC's thoughtful approach to aligning our interest to shareholders. I'll wrap up our prepared remarks with a note on our investment pipeline. Thus far in the first quarter, we have made $81,000,000 of new commitments and funded $50,000,000 With that, operator, we'll open the line for questions.

Thank you. We'll now be conducting a question and answer session. First question today is coming from Finian O'Shea from Wells Fargo Securities. Your line is now live. Hey, everyone. Good morning. I was looking at a name AT is another slight mark, but it's sort of a partial or PIK non accrual. And I was seeing if you could outline just the spirit of a PIK non accrual and how that compares to the regular definition of something that you don't anticipate collection of full interest in principal Thank you.

Yes. And thanks for the call. And the way we determine that is when we meet with the investment team, that was an investment that prior to us putting on PIC non accrual, it paid its full cash, which I believe at the time was a 15% interest rate. And we underwrote it where it would where it would pay I believe, half of that. And so is that [indiscernible] they were going to start paying cash and they wanted to pick a certain portion, We didn't believe that we would be able to recover the full value including the PIK. We knew we could with the cash So that's why we felt it was prudent to put it on PIK accrual. But it is performing now as it was underwritten, it just for a certain period of time was performing above where it was underwritten.

Okay. So it seems like you'll collect the regular principal, but not the the PIK part of it?

Correct. And we're going to they're paying the cash current and we will collect the principal.

Okay.

That's helpful. Thank you. And what The CSA marks run through of that or how much was interest rate or timing related versus fundamental?

Yes. Fin, good question.

Overwhelmingly, it was directly related to the marks on Black Angus Steakhouse which as I'm sure you're reviewing the material, you'll see that there was a sequential quarter on quarter valuation mark associated with that position. And a corresponding increase in the value of the CSA. There was, as you alluded to, impacts of interest rate and timing, but the bulk of the change quarter on quarter is going to associate with the Black Angus Steakhouse Mark.

Okay, great. That's all for me. Thanks so much. Thanks so much.

Our next question is coming from Robert Dodd from Raymond James. Your line is now live. Hi, congrats on the quarter and congrats on the continued portfolio rotation. That's 2024, are you going to do for us in 2025 on the portfolio rotation? So I mean just any thoughts on how you expect that to progress through through this year, especially with uncertain to the point [indiscernible] slower one. I mean, any thoughts on how that might progress? Through the year? I mean, really good job so far. So [indiscernible] It's Brian. A couple of thoughts and then obviously Matt can chime in as well. But obviously, we're going to continue to try to rotate out of the non bearings names from the acquisitions with a focus on really trying to move the non income producing assets to the best of our ability, while also trying to maximize value so that we we can get income producing assets, which will hopefully benefit from an ROE perspective. So that's a goal of ours. Obviously, market timing is everything. To your point on the overall market, The good news is this is fully ramped and we're kind of within our leverage targets and so if there's not a lot of deal flow coming in, there's typically not a lot of repay comments, we do have a decent pipeline of new opportunities and expect to continue to originate consistent with our strategy previously.

Thank you.

On just kind of the comments about the uncertainty [indiscernible] as you said, the economy all the economic metrics for the overall economy look good right now. Obviously, tariffs are starting to be implemented. There's cost cutting, etcetera. I mean, so can you give us any color like where you have exposure to those Barings? I mean, you have some other [indiscernible] a lot of services obviously. So, but how much of that the services side is exposed to government spending? How much of that The hard goods exposed to tariffs, any color you can give us there?

Yes. So look, we're pulling out the playbook from several years ago, kind of running these analyses on the portfolio. Fortunately for all of us, it's not the first time we've done it.

We've done kind of an initial some efforts around this analysis. Our prelim indications are somewhere between 6075% of the portfolio will be unimpacted by regulatory uncertainty. And then I think the balance is going to be a sliding scale depending on exactly what the underlying issuer does and exactly where they are operating. It's obviously way too early to say in terms of where we're headed from a portfolio perspective. We do have as I'm sure many managers do, we have our kind of [indiscernible] our top hits in terms of where we think kind of the 15 issuers are that might be the most impacted and as you can imagine, we're staying in contact with them on a more regular basis.

But certainly optimistic that well managed businesses owned by relatively sophisticated private equity firms are going to be in a position to modify their cost structures and adapt to the changing environment. I think that perhaps equally as important is just the opportunity for net deployment on a go forward basis. And that's where we've really seen a lot of uncertainty. [indiscernible] early in 2025 listed a slate of probable sales of their portfolio companies and I I would venture to say that that has kind of shrunk into a trickle in terms of where people have their heads now from a sale process perspective. So it's just a broader theme around uncertainty and we're obviously going to keep our ear to the ground Got it. Thank you.

Thank you. Yes. I just want to [indiscernible] I'm maybe asking the same question in a different way, okay?

Given [indiscernible] your comments regarding the sort of uncertainty in the the lack of kind of deal proposals.

Is it fair to think and actually fee and other income had a pretty good quarter in the fourth quarter, but is it fair to think of fee and income as you look out across 2025 is likely to be flat to down as opposed to I think a lot of people were thinking it was going to be up in 2025 because they thought there was going to be very robust deal activity.

Yes, it's a fair question, Katie. I wouldn't say that it's going to be flat to down. I think that our current expectation at the end is going to kind of be flat to flat. And the reason for that is just the broader maturity dynamics within the overall portfolio. And so while you may not see the OID acceleration as think you'll what this is here we are in February.

So forecast in the whole year. But what my gut tells me is that we're probably going to see some more activity with respect to amendment fees, extension fees, those sorts of things. And so while what you may lose from an OID acceleration perspective, you're probably going to make up from an amendment fee perspective. And that's that's my gut in terms of where we are. Now of course, M and A activity picks up, then the reverse will also be true. But with a kind of fully invested and seasoned portfolio, that's our operating base case right now.

Well, I mean, while you're on the phone, you could take a crack twenty twenty six if you want to.

Well, great. Like I said, that fourth quarter number was was a bit high. Was there a one time or a single deal that contributed to a little bit higher fee and other income in the fourth quarter than we've seen in previous quarters?

Yes, I would say that the answer to your question directly is yes. There was a transaction that did have a more substantive fee component to it in the fourth quarter. And I would tell you that did create a little bit of an outlier dynamic. And so if you were looking for modeling purposes for the forecast, I would suggest that you use a trailing April average as more of a baseline.

Thank you very much. You got it. Thank you. We reached the end of our question and answer session. I'd like to turn the floor back over for any further or closing comments.

Thank you, Kevin, and thank you to everybody who participated on today's call.

Please stay safe and have a great day.

Wonderful day. We thank you for your participation today.