Cmb.Tech NV Price & Performance (CMBT)

And our financial currents are all in order with a book equity on total assets of 30.5%. Again highlighting some of the events in our quarter. The profits I've mentioned, we took delivery of seven newbuild vessels in Q4 and additional two vessels in Q1, which obviously is straight on our diversification and decarbonization strategy. At the same time, we sold some older Suezmax vessels, the Selena, the Cap Victor, the Cap Felix in Q4, generating a nice capital gain of $71,000,000 as well as the Capelara, Suezmax vessel and Azaso VLCC and Wincut VI in Q1, generating again a capital gain of $46,500,000 The board decided not to declare a dividend for Q4. And as mentioned, our contract backlog is at $2,050,000,000 On the right hand side, you can see that 2024 was an active year for newbuild deliveries. We had 20 newbuildings delivering over the last twelve months. Moving into on the fleet on the water, we have 115 vessels at the end of the fourth quarter on the water with another 46 newbuilds from which 38 ocean going vessels, which is a relatively 2,100,000,000.0 in CapEx remaining, 35 tankers, 10 bulkers, four container vessels, six chemical tankers, 54 CTVs on the offshore wind and three turbos and ferries.

This will grow further in the next coming years, roughly 20 newbuildings every year. In the next slide. Here again, we want to highlight the detail of the contract backlog per division, but as well as the P and L breakeven, the results on the time charge equivalents for every division, but also what we have fixed already in Q1 as we've detailed in our press release. Here we zoom in on the current contract backlog that we have. We are working on a couple of few new projects, which hopefully will materialize in Q1. But nevertheless, you can see that we have close to $1,000,000,000 on the tankers, a big contract backlog on the containers and the chemical tanks for respectively, each $500,000,000 This slide, as we show in every earnings presentation, could give you an indication on what the open days are in our company, the fixed and the total days. So we had about eighteen thousand five hundred days shipping days in total for 2024. This is growing, thanks to all the newbuild deliveries, up to twenty seven thousand days in 2026, where still roughly we have about 25% fixed, so contract cover for the remaining two years.

I'll hand then over the floor to Alex to zoom in on the various divisions we have. Yes. Thank you, Wiludevic. I will take you through our five major markets, starting with an overview of where we are in the two biggest markets for C and BTEC right now, definitely on the spot side, which are the tankers and the drybulk markets. What we have put on this slide is some negative catalysts in the market, but also some positive catalysts. Maybe starting on the positive side for tankers, for VLCCs and Suezmaxes is, of course, the pressure on the dark fleets, the OFAC sanctions and then possibly as well an increased enforcement of these sanctions and the impact it has on the normal fleet of which of course Euronav, our tanker division is part. On the dry side, on the positive side, we are expecting a reflation of the economy in China, which will also be focused on the property markets, stabilize the property markets, always good for iron ore. We also see increased supply of bauxite and iron ore coming out of Africa, which should be supportive for the markets. On the negative side, there is still uncertainty both on tanker markets and on drybulk markets with a couple of elements.

Highlighting on the tanker side, the Chinese economy, which is kind of an overruling element over the last couple of years is how much will China continue to import or grow its imports of oil. On the drybulk side, even though the iron ore story in general looks very promising, particularly in China, we are seeing quite high stockpiles, which could have a negative effect on the market. But all in all, when we take these two in balance, as you will see in the next couple of slides, we are nevertheless positive for these markets. On this slide, you can see a very nice picture of our brand new SuperEco Suezmax Orion, which was the last one to be delivered last year in October. And giving you a highlight of Euronav, of our tanker division. We have 14 VLCCs and 21 Suezmaxes on the water. We have another five VLCCs and two Suezmaxes for delivery, not this year but in 2026 and partially in 2027. In Q4, we averaged around $37,000 for our VLCCs. What we have fixed so far in Q1 sits around $31,000 for the Versus On the Suezmaxes, we did $38,000 in Q4 and to date we have fixed $32,900 for the Suezmaxes.

As Ludwig said, we have entered into our fleet rejuvenation with the sale of four Suezmaxes, the Selena, the Victor, the Cap Felix and the Cap Lara. We also delivered the Alsace, our VLCC during this quarter And all in all, that has given us a profit on sales of assets over Q4 and Q1 so far of $116,000,000 On the demand side, we expect oil demand to grow, oil supply also to grow, both of them which should be supportive for our markets. Order book to fleet on VLCCs looks good. Order book to fleet on Suezmaxes is higher, but we believe still manageable. And then of course there's these additional catalysts as I was highlighting the Ofac sanctions, which could add some positive momentum to our markets. On this slide, we want to highlight on the right side, which drivers are positive and which drivers are negative for the tanker market. And as you can see, there's a lot of green except for the China oil imports year on year, which are slightly down, but all the risks are positive indicators for our tanker markets. Focusing on the Suezmax age profile, we have focused before on the VLCC age profile, we wanted to do the same on Suezmaxes.

You can see here that by 02/1930, '2 '40 '4 Suezmaxes will reach the age of twenty years or more. Between now and 'twenty eight, there are 110 Suezmaxes delivering to the fleet, which means that even though the newbuild orders stand at a slightly higher order book to fleet than the VLCCs, we still believe they will not be able to cover the rapidly aging fleet. And as you can see as well as a last point, crude tanker ton mile growth of 2% in 'twenty five with some productivity losses that we see related to age should normally bring our markets into a positive balance. So more demand fundamentals, the OPEC cuts that were going to be reinstated, that reinstatement has been delayed. We are now waiting to see what is going to happen in April. Obviously, if that supply comes on stream again, it will be positive, particularly for VLCCs. On the demand side, you can see all the agencies and their forecasts for oil demand in 2025 is all above the '24 numbers. So that's a positive. And as I said previously, so both on the demand side, extra demand, but also on the supply side, even a slight oversupply, usually that is very positive for our tanker markets.

Additional upside can come from the sanctions. And my colleague Juris has pointed out to us two very interesting graphs that you can see here. Russian oil on the water, that's the graph in the middle and Iran oil on the water and in storage is the graph on the right side. You can see that in recent months, these numbers have shot up, which for us are a very clear indication that the sanctions are starting to bite and it's increasing inefficiencies on Russian oil and Iranian oil. So watch this space because this could definitely be a big driver. One thing I haven't mentioned yet is the enforcement of the sanctions by the Shandong Port Group. We all know that in China there are of course ports that will take sanctioned vessels. But of course the more sanctions are enforced both in China and in India, the better this should be for our markets. And so again, these indicators in our book are additional upside markers. Focusing on the drybulk, you see again a beautiful picture of our mineral Portugal leaving Port Hedland full with iron ore. She was the eleventh Newcastle Max that joined our fleet. The highlights, as of January 23, we had 12 SuperEco Newcastle Maxes on the water, another 16 to be delivered.

In our drydough division, Bossima, we also have two five thousand deadweight mini bunkers, which will deliver next year. We still have seven Newcastle Maxes to be delivered in 2025. And we realized a time charter equivalent of close to $30,000 in Q4. In this quarter, which is a traditionally slower quarter, what we have fixed so far is $17,500 In the short term, we have seen weaker than anticipated demands in Q4. Q1 is traditionally a slower quarter, but so far, we have not been impressed by the rates. Very recently of course rates have started to pick up and we expect and hope that things for the remainder of the year will be more positive. That is supported by some of the indicators that you can see. On the right side, a lot of the indicators are green, only few indicators are reds, one of them being the China iron ore inventories year to year, which are higher. Another very positive for drybulk, definitely on the larger sizes Capesizes and Newcastle Maxes is the order book to fleet. We are at a historic low of just under 8%. On this slide, we wanted to highlight two things. One is the order book to fleet.

As I said, just under 8% today, historical lows, but also the average age of the fleet. We are reaching a level that we have not seen for more than fifteen years, average age of eleven point three years. You will see on the next slide when we focus on some of the segments that this bodes very well for the supplydemand. All the ships should be leaving the fleet eventually. On the shipyard capacity, as you probably know, yards are full for 25, 20 six, we'll even say 27. So for the next three years, we have a good visibility on what is coming and that is not that much in terms of capacity. On the APE side, there's two zero four Capes that will reach the age of twenty years by 2027. By 2027, '1 hundred and '30 '6 Capes will be delivered to the fleet. So you can see that if ships above 20 years of age gets scrapped, we will be in a shrinking fleet scenario. By 02/1930, the number of overage Capes of twenty years and plus can reach 40% of the fleet. So definitely on the supply side, we think the story is still very, very supportive.

Some additional drivers. One thing that has been highlighted by some analysts in recent months is the amount of drydocks that Capes will have to undergo in this year and in the next two years. There's been a huge delivery wave in the years 02/1112 of Capesizes. Now all these ships need to go through their third special survey. And so we see a lot of Capesizes being tied up in special service, which is very positive for the market. Board congestion over the last couple of years has been falling. In recent months, we have seen an uptick. This again could be supportive for rates. And the average speed today of the fleet is low. Of course, it is low because supply demand can be balanced with lower speeds, but it's also low because we of course need to watch some of the emissions and the costs of our fuel. On the demand side, it's a lot of talk about iron ore. Obviously, definitely for the sizes we are in, the whole environment is supportive, prices on iron ore are still supportive, but definitely also the supply of iron ore coming from different areas, the traditional areas, Brazil and Australia, but also new areas West Africa is definitely going to play a very big role.

And so on the seaborne iron ore demand, we are very, very positive for the next couple of years. Moving to our smallest division in number of ships. You see a picture here of the CMA CGM Dolomites and our crew. That was the last 6,000 TEU ship to be delivered last year in October. We have four vessels on the water, four six thousand TEU ships which are fixed on long term ten year charters. We have one more ship delivered to our fleet, which is also fixed on a long term charter that will be next year in the end of Q2, beginning of Q3. The market of containers has surprised everybody in 2024 because of the Cape Of Good Hope reroutings, people avoiding the Red Sea. It remains to be seen what will be the situation this year. So far there's not been a huge amount of easing, but obviously if vessels transit through the Red Sea and the Suez Canal in a massive way, this should have a negative impact on the market. Obviously in CMBTech, our container division, Delphi is not impacted because we don't have any spot exposure of containers. You can see here on this slide the rollercoaster rides of the container markets, which reached all time highs during the post COVID period, but have spiked up again last year due to the Red Sea issues.

On the indicator side, there are of course some green indicators like container ships Suez Canal transits, but most of the indicators, a lot of ships coming on stream, rates are down and the demand is going to ease are more or less negative. So on containers, we are definitely more cautious. Our chemical tanker division, Bokkem, we now have six chemical tankers on the water. We have another two vessels delivering end of this year, beginning of twenty twenty six and then two bitumen tankers as well. The market has been performing well. I mean, our performance has been good. We have some vessels on long term time charter. We do also have some vessels in the spot pool. All in all, the year can be split up in two. The beginning of the year was very good, 2024. But then going into Q3 and Q4, it softened a bit because we saw product tankers coming back into some of the dedicated chemical tanker straight. But when you look at the numbers on the right side, these are still very, very healthy and we cannot complain on the state of the chemical tanker market. And I want to finish with some words on our offshore wind division wind cuts.

You see this picture taken in our shipyard in Vietnam where we are building our CSOVs. The first one to be delivered in the month of May, June is the one on the right. The second one is the one on the left. And then you can actually already see the third one, which is on the slipway in the middle being built in Halong in the North Of Vietnam. The CTV and the CZOV markets, we split it up, of course, both are active mainly in the offshore wind markets, but of course there are different ship types, our CTVs are much smaller vessels. We have seen actually good markets in the second half of twenty twenty four. The momentum always shifts towards the winter season is a bit quieter. And even though utilization went down a bit and rates softened a bit, we could actually see already a lot of inquiries for 2025. So all in all, the market was better than expected and also in this quarter it is better than expected. You can see that our utilizations are actually quite healthy for Q4 and Q1 and we are reaching average rates around the $3,000 market. Mark?

Our CSOVs, as I said, the first one will deliver in May, June. CSOVs in 2024, there were 13 newbuildings coming to the market. Of course, it's a small market. Rates did not really soften but went sideways. And we still see very healthy supply demand not only coming from the offshore wind, but more particularly of the offshore oil and gas. Some of these wind vessels because there are not enough PSVs in the offshore oil and gas market are moving to oil and gas because also the rates are better there. So the market is very much supported not only by the wind demand but also other markets like oil and gas. And you can see here some market rates on this slide. In Q4, typical CSOV was earning $50,000 a day. As a summary, on tankers, we are positive. On drybulk, we are positive. Containers, we are cautious to negative. On chemical tankers, still positive. And offshore winds, we are positive. You can see our spot and time charter exposure in our various divisions. The tanker market is still very much spot oriented even though we have 12 vessels on long term charters. Dry bulk is full spot.

On the container side we are fully fixed. On the chemicals, it's a mixed bag, two ships on the spot market and all the rest is fixed. And on offshore wind on the CSOVs, we are still very much spot oriented. And then you have our fleet. I'm not going to go in all the details, but we took delivery of 20 ships last year. It's another 20 ships this year and then another 26 in 2026 and 2027. You can see all the details on this slide. To finish off, I'm going to hand it back to Ludwig for some conclusions. Yes. So to conclude, if we look at the three main drivers in our strategy, On the shareholder side, happy to report yet another strong results, brings the full year profit to $870,000,000 We continue our discretionary dividend policy and no dividend has been declared for the fourth quarter. Our diversification optimization strategy, I think we have a good recycling of our capital with selling older tankers investing in diversified newbuilding fleets. And on the decarbonization optionality, I think we're making great headways on all our NH3 H2 ready and fitted vessels. The outlook looks good on our two largest divisions where we have spot exposure.

We're quite bullish on tankers and drybulk. We continue to work on long term contracts and we still hover around the $2,000,000,000 contract backlog. Hopefully, we can announce some more deals in the month to come and quite excited on the chemical tanker on the chemical markets and the offshore wind markets. So hopefully, we can announce some good news flow there as well. Without further ado, we'll open up the floor for Q and A. And here you can see how the various ways you can do it.

Yes. So if you would like to ask a question, please raise your hands. Make sure to introduce yourself and unmute before you ask your question. If for any reason you can't unmute, you can also leave a question in our Q and A section, and we will read it out loud. If you're dialing in with a telephone, you can type to raise your hand and to unmute. And of course, if you have any follow-up questions, we are always available via email. You can send an email to Juris. You can also find the details in the press release. So now I will open the floor for questions. Even Goldskaft, you can unmute and ask your question, please.

So just on your equity ratio covenant. So I know you managed that and are aware of the covenant. But how should you assume or think about the way you manage that going forward? So is it fair to assume not to keep selling a few older vessels each quarter? Or do you are looking forward to do some kind of a large transaction so we can get some more financial flexibility?

Good question, Evan. I think it's the first one. I think we have a big portfolio of vessels, a diversified one. We manage our equity ratio based on prospects of operational profits, but also vessel sales. We have pretty low book values. That's also indicated in our equity ratio. It's not a value adjusted equity ratio, it's a book equity. As we have low book equity, I think the real underlying equity in the company is understated. But yes, we'll continue to manage it by selling some older vessels and making operational profit but also capital gains on sales.

Okay. And other one, you talked about new potential projects. So in which segments are you currently looking at and which segment is the most attractive today?

It's all of them. As we said in our press release, the markets have been a bit slow and I think you know that. So we think it's both on the tanker side and on the drybulk side and on the chemical tanker side, even on the container side, we have a lot of discussions, but nothing has materialized yet. But we're very hopeful that in the next couple of months we'll be able to land some deals.

Then Christoph, you can unmute and ask your question now.

Yes. Good afternoon. Thank you for taking my questions. I will start with two, if I may. On the backlog and the pipeline. I mean, have you seen a considerable change in attitude of targets since the Trump election? Or do you have the feeling that a lot of people are waiting for the outcome of the next EPC meeting? And regarding prospects there, do you see the shift in segments in your pipeline like or miners less interested or can you shed some light into the segments of your pipeline for long term contracts?

Thank you. Yes, thanks. Very good question. And as you will understand, you're not the first person to ask us. I would say that the Trump election and the view of the President and the new administration on the energy transition is very well known. We know that they will probably not be the biggest cheerleaders of decarbonizing their industry or shipping in general. This being said, we have not seen a shift in interest or lack of interest in our projects. If anything, on the contrary, we have actually seen more interest. And the more interest has not really come from the Trump election, yes or no, because of course that's the American market. We are active in many more markets than only America. The ships and interest has come because we are getting closer and closer to finally having our ammonia powered ships on the water. Our engine will be ready this summer. Our first ship will deliver in January year. And we are actively now engaged with a lot of customers that can finally see the vessels that are being delivered and therefore want to engage on long term contracts. Your question on segments where we see most traction on long term contracts, it's two points to that.

One, a lot depends on where we are in the cycle and where the spot market is. It will come as no surprise to you that if tankers would go to $50,000 60 thousand dollars 70 thousand dollars a day, there will always be customers that want to take some cover on long term PC and that goes for every segment we are active in. But two, there are some specific segments like for instance the mining companies that are indeed looking at trialing some of the new technologies and that therefore might come to the table to sign some longer term deals.

Okay. Thank you. And maybe, yes, I'll leave the floor to somebody else for questions and then I can ask another one later on.

Okay, thanks.

Christophe, if you still want to ask a question, you can have the floor again.

Okay. Just regarding the SSO's means, is it technically possible that there is an extension of the contract and the work they are doing? And if so, when could contract negotiations for an extensions start? And then on private bulk a little bit more of let's say a philosophical question. I mean if we look at the iron ore price and if we look at cash breakevens, I mean theoretically you would expect miners to continue to delve you know, as long as they make cash. We see that the rates for your Newcastle Maxes are under pressure. Are there maybe some spillover effects from other carbon trades moving into iron ore trade or are there smaller vessels moving into the iron ore trade? Can you detail that a little bit?

Yes. So on the FSOs, the short answer to your question, is it technically possible to extend the vessels? The answer is yes. The ships will probably need some upgrading and some work, but definitely these ships can be extended or their lifetime can be extended. We are not having any discussions as we speak because the charter still runs for a long time. And I think we'll have to come closer to the end of the charter in the next couple of years when discussions might take place. On drybulk, the reason the Newcastle MAX or Capesize rates or drybulk rates in general are under pressure is a variety of reasons, but one of them is seasonality. We are traditionally in a slow quarter where weather related matters, maintenance matters, make sure that there's less cargo available on the market. And with less cargo, of course, rates then go down. Why mining companies are not shipping more iron ore out at current prices? Well, I think you should ask them. But I can give you some maybe hints at an answer. It's very easily said to increase production, not always easily done. It takes huge investments to increase capacity.

There are also some logistical concerns. And of course, the price is high now, but in the past has been much lower. Some of these companies probably also want to watch their bottom line and be a little bit more prudent in their approach and as to how much they will ship. This being said, and you will see this in our slide deck, but also in our market overview of the press release, there is an immense amount of new iron ore supply, which will come on stream as from the end of this year out of Guinea, which is for our market a big game changer because not only will it add volumes to the market, it will also add very significant ton mileage because most of that iron ore, if not all, will go to China.

Okay. Thank you. And your Newcastle Maxes, are they still operating for Fortescue or is the charter is now more diverse?

It's a mix. Some of them are with the company you mentioned, some of them are not. It's a mixed bag of some vessels that we fix on a voyage per voyage basis and then some we have some consecutive voyages. But it's all on the spot market in terms of pricing.

Okay. I see that Julian is still raising his hand, so we will try once more. I see your unmuted.

Yes, we can hear you.

Okay, great. Hello, gentlemen, Mr. Seres and Mr. Seres. I have a very important question to ask you. What is the company's twenty twenty five Q1 and Q2 short term strategy in securing new routes, especially for your VLCC ships, the crude oil ships.

And you mean securing new routes in terms of new customers, in terms of new destinations?

In terms of new customers and possibly new destinations?

Well, we don't really have a different strategy than the one that we have had over the last couple of months and years is we go where the cargo is. We have seen a shift of course with less barrels coming out of The Middle East and more barrels coming out of the Atlantic Basin. Logically more vessels go to the Atlantic Basin. The strategy is determined on our VLCCs by the Tankers International pool. You probably know we are a partner there. And on the Suezmaxes, we run this year from Antwerp. We basically go short answer to you, where the cargo is. And in terms of the destinations, as I just said, we have seen a shift over the last eighteen to twenty four months, of course, much more from the Atlantic Basin towards Asia than from The Middle East.

Thank you. One last question I have. Now I realize you're selling some of your older VLCCs and Suezmaxes. Now is this a trend that will continue over the course of the next quarter in order to accomplish your greener fuel cell and ammonia running ships? Is this a continuing trend?

For sure. It's not only to invest in greener applications, but just because we like to operate a young fleet. Some of the ships we're selling are seventeen to 18 years old. And we think that prices today are good and that's why we want to recycle that cash and then invest in more modern vessels. So the short answer to your question is yes, we will continue to look at possible sales of our older fleet, but not at any price and not at any time.

We also received some questions in the chat, so I will read them out loud. When do you expect the new site, Sitter, in Africa to contribute to additional revenue?

That's a very good question. As you might have seen on some of our news flow, we hope to be operational with our hydrogen production facility in Namibia towards the June, beginning of July. The whole site is fully commissioned. We're just waiting for the electrolyzer to be installed. That project will not meaningfully contribute to our revenues because we're only producing one tonne of hydrogen a day, which will be sold locally. The real impact of our Namibian project will be as soon as twenty twenty eight, twenty twenty nine when our larger projects, our ammonia tank terminal and our ammonia production facility will come on stream. So until 'twenty eight, 'twenty nine, this will not have a meaningful impact on our revenues.

And then the next question, how big is the difference in rates for your eco vessels and when do you expect the overall scrapping in all segments to begin in earnest?

So it's probably a reference to our Newcastle Maxes. I think that in a normal market, the premium that we will earn because we are burning less fuel can be all the way up to $10,000 15 thousand dollars a day. When do we expect scrapping? Usually people scrap ships when the market is very, very bad. The market is not in a super shape during the quarter, but it's not bad enough for a massive scrap wave. However, and this being said, as from a fourth special survey for specifically drydock ships, it becomes increasingly difficult even in okay ish markets to justify big investments in a large drydock and then usually ships start going to the scrapyards. And recently we've seen one ship going to the scrapyards. We think with the age profile of the fleet in the next two, three years that this will actually accelerate even though markets would not be totally bad, but just average. Maybe to add that just on the numbers. If you look at our earnings for our SuperEco Newcastle Maxes as you asked, as we've shown in our Q4, we had 29,800 so close to $30,000 If you just look at your ten year old Capesize index for that same quarter, we're at around $18,000 There's almost $12,000 per day extra that we have earned, thanks to our SuperEco Newcastle Max.

And then the next one, how do you overcome the relatively small float in your overall shares when it comes to institutional buying?

I think that's, it is a good question. It's still one of the things we would like to tackle in the foreseeable future. I think having a listed platform with only 8% free float is not fully functional. It's not bringing the actual potential and so it reduces the participation of institutional investors buying our shares. So I think this is something we would like to tackle, but not at any price and not just at any timing. Today, our share price, we believe, is somewhat undervalued. And so today, using primary capital raises or other types of actions to increase the free float is not creating more shareholder value.

And then the last one. Despite sanctions, the dark fleet is still operating relentlessly. What other than a sinking would stop that severely?

We truly hope there will be no sinking because that would then be an environmental and a human disaster. What we are seeing and as I showed on one of the slides is that sanctions and the implementation and enforcement of sanctions can accelerate a shift more to the normal vessels and can actually make trading of dark vessels very difficult, if not impossible.

And I think that concludes the questions.

Very good. I would like to thank everyone for being this call, thanking my colleagues Ludovic, Enya and Joris for being here with me today. If you have any other questions, you can always reach out to us. Thank you very much.