Quest Diagnostics Incorporated Price & Performance (DGX)

Thank you, and good morning. I'm joined by Jim Davis, our Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President and Sam Samad, our Chief Financial Officer. During this call, we may make forward looking statements and will discuss non GAAP measures. We provide a reconciliation of non GAAP measures to comparable GAAP measures in the tables to our earnings press release. Any actual results may differ materially from those projected. Risks and uncertainties that may affect Quest Diagnostics' future results include, but are not limited to, those described in our most recent annual report on Form 10 ks, and subsequently filed quarterly reports on Form 10 Q and current reports on Form eight For this call, references to reported EPS refer to reported diluted EPS and references to adjusted EPS refer to adjusted diluted EPS. Growth rates associated with our long term outlook projections including consolidated revenue growth, revenue growth from acquisitions organic revenue growth and adjusted earnings growth are compound annual growth rates. Now here is Jim Davis, Thanks Sean and good morning. In the first quarter we delivered strong revenue growth of approximately 12% including nearly 2.5% in organic growth as demand rebounded in March following weather impacts early in the quarter.

Our growth was due to contributions from acquisitions, and large enterprise accounts demand for our advanced diagnostics portfolio, and expanded health plan access. We also continue to expand our use of automation robotics and AI with the goal of improving quality, customer and employee experiences and productivity. We are reaffirming our revenue and adjusted EPS guidance for the full year 2025. Now before turning to highlights from the quarter, I'd like to briefly comment on the recent court case that vacated the FDA rule to regulate laboratory developed tests as medical devices. The court's decision will ensure patients and providers can continue to access innovative laboratory testing services regulated under CLIA without additional regulatory costs to comply with the FDA LDT rule. We also recognize that several growing areas of our business already operate under the FDA's existing quality management system regulations including companion diagnostics, and lab services for clinical trials. In addition, our business is increasingly global as we expand in Canada through LifeLabs and provide reference testing for many countries. We continue to invest in quality management processes and technologies to navigate the complexity of the global regulatory environment. Now I'll recap our strategy and discuss highlights from the first quarter.

Then Sam will provide more detail in our results. Our strategy to drive growth is focused on delivering solutions that meet the evolving needs of our core clinical customers physicians and hospitals. As well as customers in the higher growth areas of consumer initiated testing life sciences and data analytics. We enable growth across our customer channels through faster growing advanced diagnostics in five key clinical areas. Which are advanced cardiometabolic, autoimmune, brain health, oncology, and women's and reproductive health. In addition, acquisitions are a key growth driver and our strategy emphasizes accretive outreach purchases and independent labs. Finally, we are focused on driving operational improvements across the business business with the deployment of automation robotics and AI for improved quality, customer and employee experiences and productivity. Here are some of the updates on the progress we have made in these areas in the first quarter of twenty twenty five. In the physician channel, we delivered revenue growth in the high teens driven largely by acquisitions. Organic revenue growth in the physician channel was mid single digits. Our expanding portfolio of advanced diagnostics continued to deliver solid growth. We also generated volume and revenue growth through access to new geographies as a result of new health plan partnerships that took effect on January 1.

In addition, we also grew from large enterprise accounts including functional medicine providers which are often early adopters of advanced diagnostics tests that over time move to broader adoption. For example, we saw impressive uptake of our novel PFAS forever chemicals test which we launched a little over one year ago. Our ability to scale innovation is attractive to large enterprise organizations seeking to improve access, quality, and affordability. During the quarter, Quest was named as the first independent national lab to be selected to the OptumHealth Preferred Lab Network. The OptumHealth PLN requires labs to meet rigorous quality and economic criteria to improve patient affordability and access. The OptumHealth network represents more than 85,000 Optum employed contracted, and affiliated positions. Our addition to this PLN is an example of our attractiveness as a partner to enterprise providers seeking to improve quality and economic value. We also announced an agreement to provide comprehensive lab testing for Fresenius Medical Care's dialysis center serving more than 200,000 kidney dialysis patients in The US. Under a separate agreement, we also plan to acquire SelectLab assets from Fresenius Medical Care in The U. S. In the hospital channel, revenue growth in the quarter was largely driven by contributions from our collaborative lab solutions formerly known as Professional Lab Services.

Running a lab and developing lab tests requires investing in equipment, hiring specialized talent, and keeping pace with innovation in lab technology. Health systems continue to face supplies inflation workforce challenges and reduced access to capital. Through our reference testing, co lab solutions and OutreachLab acquisitions, Quest provides hospitals with strategic options for accessing best in class diagnostic innovation without having to maintain a lab. At our recent Investor Day, we shared our plans to expand in three high growth areas, consumer initiated testing, life sciences, and data analytics. We recently enhanced the online shopping experience of our consumer initiated test platform questhealth.com. Streamlining the order process, which contributed to a sharp uptick in first time orders during the quarter. We also introduced 10 new tests on the platform. QuestHealth.com features fast access physician consults, and for STIs and several other conditions, access to prescriptions for treatment. We recently shared our long term outlook for double digit growth in advanced diagnostics across five key clinical areas. Advanced cardiometabolic and autoimmune testing both grew at double digit rates similar to trends seen last year. These areas help providers support preventative care for patients by identifying early health risks conventional lab tests can miss.

In brain health, we generated double digit growth from our innovative AD DETECT blood tests for Alzheimer's disease. We are particularly excited about our latest AD DETECT blood test panel, which we launched this month. This new panel combines results of amyloid beta and p tau two seventeen two well established Alzheimer's biomarkers to give physicians even greater confidence to confirm Alzheimer's brain pathology in symptomatic patients. In women's and reproductive health, prenatal and hereditary genetic testing grew double digits. In March, we launched a solution that enables a patient to self collect a specimen for HPV cervical cancer screening at a doctor's office. We plan to roll out this self collect at our 2,000 patient service centers in The US early next month complementing our STI related self collect option which has already seen high rates of adoption since its launch last year. During the quarter, we started to receive commercial orders for our Haystack MRD test for assessing early risk of cancer recurrence. We are investing in our connectivity with electronic medical records preferred by oncologists to improve ease of account setup and ordering. For instance, we plan to deploy Haystack MRD via Epic's Aura specialty EMR module later this year.

Finally, Quest continues to be at the forefront of serving public health needs. We saw an uptick in our measles offerings including testing that can be used for diagnosis or to assess vaccination status or prior infection. Turning to operational excellence. We continue to target 3% annual cost savings and productivity improvements through Invigorate. We are automating several areas of our laboratories from tuberculosis testing to cervical cancer screening to improve quality, customer and employee experiences and productivity. We also recently shared goals for Project Nova. Which we expect will modernize and simplify our entire order to cash process. While this initiative will take several years to fully implement, we expect to realize the benefits sooner including lower IT spend and improved productivity. Project Nova will also support our ability to data insights and GenAI. During the quarter, we announced a collaboration with Google Cloud to streamline data management and employ GenAI to personalize customer and employee experiences. Finally, I want to thank our more than 55,000 Quest and LifeLabs colleagues for their dedication to living the Quest purpose. Working together to create a healthier world one life at a time. And now Sam will provide more details on our performance and 2025 guidance.

Sam? Thanks, Jim.

In the first quarter, consolidated revenues $2,650,000,000 up 12.1% versus the prior year. Consolidated organic revenues grew by 2.4%. Revenues for Diagnostic Information Services were up 12.7% compared to the prior year. Reflecting recent acquisitions as well as growth in our key physician and hospital channels. Total volume measured by the number of requisitions increased 12.4% versus the first quarter of twenty twenty four.

With organic volume down by 0.9%. During the quarter, weather in one less day versus the prior year reduced volume growth by approximately 160 basis points.

Total revenue per requisition was up 0.3% versus the prior year. Driven primarily by an increase in the number of tests per rec mostly offset by the impact of the LifeLabs acquisition which carries a lower revenue per requisition. On an organic basis, revenue per rec was up 3.6% in the quarter versus last year.

Unit price reimbursement was relatively flat consistent with our expectations. Reported operating income in the first quarter was $346,000,000 or 13% of revenues. Compared to $300,000,000 or 12.7% of revenues last year. On an adjusted basis, operating income was $46,000,000 or 15.3% of revenues, compared to $349,000,000 or 14.8% of revenues last year. The increase in adjusted operating income was due to the impact of recent acquisitions and organic revenue growth. Partially offset by the impact of weather one less day versus the prior year and wage increases. Reported EPS was $1.94 in the quarter compared to $1.72 a year ago. Adjusted EPS was $2.21 versus $2.4 the prior year. EPS in the first quarter was impacted by higher interest expense versus the prior year.

Cash from operations was $314,000,000 in the first quarter, versus $154,000,000 in the prior year. Turning now to full year 2025 guidance.

Despite the economic uncertainty, unstable macro backdrop, and given Quest's essential role in healthcare, and comparative resilience, we are reaffirming guidance for revenues and adjusted EPS. Therefore, revenues are expected to be between $10,700,000,000 and $10,850,000,000 Reported EPS now expected to be in a range of $8.62 to 8.87 and adjusted EPS to remain in a range of 9.55 to $9.8 Cash from operations is now expected to be approximately $1,500,000,000 and capital expenditures are expected to be approximately 500,000,000 Our 2025 guidance reflects the following considerations. Our revenue guidance continues to assume approximately 3% organic revenue growth.

With the remainder coming from the acquisitions completed in 2024 and announced to date. It does not assume any contribution from prospective M and A. We continue to anticipate that Haystack on Oncology will be slightly less dilutive versus the prior year. We are making investments in 2025 related to Project Nova which we expect will modernize our entire order to cash process. Also, despite the decision by a federal court to vacate the FDA rule on lab developed tests, We still intend to make some investments this year, to strengthen our regulatory capabilities to serve our growing global and life sciences businesses. Operating margin is expected to expand versus the prior year.

We continue to anticipate net interest expense to be approximately $275,000,000 Adjusted tax rate is expected to be approximately 25% Our share count for the full year is expected to be approximately 114,000,000 diluted shares outstanding. Finally, we raised our operating cash flow guidance by $50,000,000 which primarily reflects a pretax gain to be taken in Q2 related to a payroll tax credit under the CARES Act that we received in April. With that, I will now turn it back to Jim.

Thanks Sam. To summarize, we delivered strong consolidated and organic revenue growth in the first quarter as demand rebounded in March following weather impacts early in the quarter. In addition to acquisitions, key drivers of growth included large enterprise partnerships, advanced diagnostics, and expanded health plan access. And we are reaffirming our revenue and adjusted EPS guidance for the full year 2025. Now we'd be happy to take questions. Operator?

Thank you. We will now open it up to questions. At the request of the company, we ask that you please limit yourself to one question. You have additional questions, we ask that you fall back into the queue. To be placed into the queue, please press star 1 from your phone. To withdraw, Again, to ask a question, press star 1. Our first question comes from Luke Sergott with Barclays. Your line is open. You may ask your question.

Great. Thanks guys. Good morning. Just wanted to touch on the organic the volumes that you guys had. When you kind of break it down on a test per day, it's roughly flattish to what you guys had last year. And so as you're thinking about as you roll out through the rest of the year, is the pacing going to be relatively similar to what we had last year Anything to call out there from Dave or what you guys have baked in from the downside on from weather, etcetera?

Yes. So good morning, and thanks for your So just on the organic volume, reported was down 90 basis points. But if we correct for the leap year impact and the weather impact year over year, it would have increased that by 160 basis points. So we would have been up about close to 1%. Now that that really does compare, you know, with what we saw both in the third quarter and fourth quarter last year. There was a progression through 2024, but only because the first and second quarter were really still impacted by COVID from 2023. The other thing I'd mentioned is, you know, January and February were certainly soft because of the weather, we did see a nice bounce back, in particular during the last three weeks of March. And I would tell you, our volume trends in the nineteen, twenty days of April have also been consistent with our expectations and what we saw last year. So I think we're pleased with the utilization levels that we're seeing out there right now.

Great. Thanks.

You're welcome.

Thank you. Our next Our next question comes from Kevin Caliendo with UBS. Your line is open. You may ask your question.

Thank you. Good morning. Thanks for taking my question.

Want to ask the tariff question. And just try to understand sort of what kind of exposures Quest has to this, you know, in in the context of how much of your supply cost come OUS? How much of it is fixed contracts? How should we think about the risks of this going forward? Have you adjusted your your model or your expectations for tariffs in any way Any details you can provide would be super helpful. Sure. Thanks, Kevin. Let let me just start with look. We buy about $2,000,000,000 of you know, reagents supplies, and that 2,000,000,000 is capital you know, equipment cost. Also, you know, service contracts. So about $2,000,000,000 of of total spend. Now, first of all, less than 1% of that we source directly from China ourselves. Okay? And, we have plans already activate where, that less than 1% small number we are moving, some of those. And and by the way, that that less than 1% is pre analytical supplies, gowns, gloves, masks, tubes, you know, really simple types of things. So some of it, we've already moved. We're in the process of moving others So we actually think our exposure there is not that great.

Now if you come back to that 2,000,000,000 about 75 to 80% of that of that spend is really reagents and supplies for the laboratory. And and and and that is actually manufactured here in The US. So we can have global suppliers like Siemens and Roche, but the manufacturing of that is in The U. S. So again, we believe our exposure is small. The other thing I'd say is most of our supplies are under multiyear contracts. Obviously, those contracts come up every four to five years So 20% will come up this year. But we compete those things. So as we said in the prepared remarks, any tariff impact we think we can cover at this point given the guidance that we've put out there.

Yeah. And I I would just add, Kevin. Is obviously based on under current law and current regulation So this is what we're assuming based on today, what we know today. It's the impact is not zero, but the impact is very manageable for us and it's baked into our current guidance.

That's super helpful. I appreciate the color. Can I ask a quick follow-up Just in the last week or so, we've read some stories about strikes up in LifeLabs?

The stories don't give a ton of details. It sounds like it's somewhat organized but nonunion. Can you just maybe talk about what that is and if it's impacting LifeLabs in any way or impacting potential accretion from LifeLabs.

Yes. Sure, Kevin. So first of all, the strike is just on the British Columbia side. Recall LifeLabs, broadly part participates in the Ontario marketplace and the British Columbia marketplace. British Columbia is actually the smaller of the two sides. There are about 1,200 employees that are involved in the strike. Those 1,200 employees are part of a much bigger union of roughly 70,000 employees called the BCGEU. It's largely a public service union. Now there's certain statues about, how strikes are conducted in British Columbia. And one of those is you can only we have 128 patient service centers in British Columbia. You can actually only strike at 17 of those 128. So on any given day, actually, there's there's a small amount of people that are actually out on strike. And our management team in British Columbia, has to back those open positions, which they've been doing. Do have a mediator involved. We are making progress and we hope to have things settled within the next thirty to forty five days.

Great.

Thank you guys so much.

Yep. You're welcome. Thanks, Kevin.

Thank you. Our next question comes from Patrick Donnelly with Citi. Your line is open. You may ask your question.

Hey, guys. Thank you for taking the questions. Sam, maybe just a quick one. Just on pacing on margins, can you talk a little about 2Q? I know typically seasonally that's the strongest quarter. So I just want to talk through margins earnings there.

Any impact again from some of the tariff noise freight surcharges, things like that? And then just quickly, LifeLabs, outside the strike, just how it performed this year. In the quarter would be helpful.

Sure. And good morning, Patrick. Listen, let's talk first about margins in Q1 and then I'll talk about the pace and address your question about LifeLabs. Q1 margins came in operating margins at 15.3%. So a 50 basis point expansion from prior year. That was driven by volume impacted somewhat negatively by the weather impact that we talked about, which were more severe than what we saw last year. But in general, strong margins, 15.3% operating margins. As we think about the full year, Patrick, the pacing is really very consistent with what we expect to see in terms of traditional or historic seasonality. Even going back pre COVID seasonality because COVID impacted a little bit the seasonality. So traditionally what we've seen and I'm talking really here EPS pacing, not necessarily operating margin pacing. But EPS pacing, usually what we see is roughly 49% in the first half of the year, about 51% in the second half of the year. And so you see Q2 being the best quarter Q3 slightly lower than that, Q4 lower than Q3. Then usually Q1 is actually the lowest quarter of the year in terms of EPS contribution. So that's what we expect in terms of pacing.

In terms of expectation for full year 2025, still the expectation is that we continue that we grow operating margins rate versus last year. Both dollars and rate. In terms of Life Labs? Yes.

Let me just give you a little color on Life Labs in the quarter. First of all, think, as you all know, most of the revenue is capitated. So there's generally not surprises on the revenue side. There's a small amount of, patient it's physician patient physician revenue where you're selling tests directly to physicians outside of the capitated agreement. But the revenue was really basically in line with our expectations. On the margin side, as we indicated, we expect to have LifeLabs at the corporate average within two to three years. And I would just tell you, we made, again, nice progress in the quarter. We've seen quarter over quarter improvements in margin rate. And we expect to be, if anything, on the early side of plans of having it at the company corporate margin in two to three years.

Operator, next question.

Thank you. Our next question comes from Elizabeth Anderson with ISI. Your line is open. You may ask your question. Hi, guys. Good morning. Thanks so much for the question. Our tariffs or any of the, potential hospital reimbursement challenges, creating an opportunity in the hospital lab management space or outreach space, or you would just say sort of too soon? If you could just sort of talk about the maybe the progression of some of those quest questions debates. You've been hearing recently.

Yeah. I think it's a bit too soon. It's not to say we won't contemplate price increases. Tariffs start to hit us in a, meaningful way. As you know, you know, the health plan, contracts you know, probably don't give us a chance to go back and open those up. Having said that, 25 20 to 25, percent of the contract come up every year. If we're seeing a meaningful impact on our business, we're certainly gonna try to pass that through. The health you know, health system pricing landscape, I I would still say, is the most challenging of all that we deal with. But, again, if we are hit in a meaningful way, certainly gonna try to pass that along to both health systems, client bill, consumer bill, and anything outside of of health plans.

Sorry, Jim. I meant more like our hospitals, like, in seeking relation like, in your acquisition strategy. Sorry if my question wasn't clear.

Okay. Know, the the funnel of opportunities on what we now call the our co lab, collaborative lab services agreement continues to be very robust. We're in the process of negotiating with several institutions on this. So, if anything, you're right. It can accelerate those opportunities if suppliers start to pass those tariffs the form of price increases to our health systems.

Got it. Thank you.

Thank you. Our next question comes from Michael Cherny with Leerink Partners. Your line is open. You may ask your question.

Good morning, and thanks for taking the question. Maybe to kind of get at the market dynamics in a little different fashion.

I appreciate the color you gave on the tariff impact. That's certainly helpful. Would assume that other entities in the market, smaller than you and your largest peer, gonna be in slightly more challenging position in trying to get to managing any offsets on cost similar to potentially what happened with the inflationary environment the wage side from a couple years back.

How do you think about strategic discussions you're having with payers on potentially driving more share about opportunities you have to service, a wider swath of their membership bases given your reach, your scale, and your ability to absorb and or offset any of these cost dynamics Curious, and I know it's early, but if you're seeing any changes in terms of strategic payer dynamic And then looking to you, more closely given you're on much more stable financial footing?

Yeah. So, Mike, I I would tell you that, our discussions and collaborations with the health plans are ongoing continuous As you know, we have all sorts of programs in place on the redirect of work to try to redirect work. From expensive, out of network labs from expensive health system labs, Several of our large payers, we have collaborative relationships that provide us with information of physicians that are using these very expensive labs, and our teams go and work those lists really hard and try to convert that over. As we also mentioned in the prepared remarks, we are now a preferred lab network provider for OptumHealth Services. And that went into place during the quarter. And in a similar way, we work with the roughly 85,000 physicians that are in the Optum network. We work with the management team at OptumHealth to try to redirect as much of that work into you know, labs, to Quest Diagnostics, where get really great quality at at, at a great value. So if anything, yeah, I agree. These tariffs may push probe and and and help do the and move that work even quicker. Operator, next question, please.

Thank you. Our next question comes from Pito Chickering with Deutsche Bank. Your line is open. You may ask your question.

Hey, good morning guys. A follow-up to Kevin's question on on the tariffs, and I think I missed one of the numbers that you gave out. Of the $2,000,000,000 spend, what to spend on supplies on the sort of low end that could be sourced in China like syringes, gloves and gowns?

Well, what we did what I didn't give that exact number The number I gave is of the 2,000,000,000 less than 1% is sourced directly from suppliers in China by Quest Diagnostics. So, and within that less than 1%, our mostly pre analytical supplies, so gowns, gloves. Now that's not to say that the entirety of our preanalytical low tech supplies comes out of China. They come across you know, in all in all parts of the world. Now what I said is to minimize our exposure on that spend in China, we've we've actively been moving from suppliers in China to outside of China, including suppliers in The U. S, including suppliers around the rest of the globe, where tariffs are significantly lower.

Yes. A couple of percentages though, Pito, just to keep in mind is we also said roughly 80% is basically manufactured or sourced in The U. S. So at least based on the law today, impacted by tariffs. And also 70% to 80% of the total supplies that we have are under contract. So they have fixed pricing. And we think we can manage the exposure. The exposure is not zero, but we think it's managed Yes. Just to clarify, the 80% that is manufactured manufactured in The U. S. Are really the reagents, expensive reagents for running the lab.

Test.

Right. So so the 2 billions or 20% of the price was out The U. S. And combination obviously split between, you know, Malaysia, China or you know, a series of other sources. I I just heard of should think about that. Right?

That's about right.

Okay. Fair enough. And then for your M and A pipeline, can you sort of, you know, talk about sort how the pipeline looks? It's just been a while since we haven't seen a deal closed in a quarter. Are you going back the cash flow statement since fourth quarter twenty twenty three, does the pipeline are we still look as robust as as it has been? Do you sort of see the pace continue as expected or as hospitals continue to do well operationally? Excluding the current political environment, do you see that change the pace of as you view outreach deals? Thanks so much.

Yes. The funnel is still healthy, and it's a mix of hospital outreach, types of, endeavors plus small regional labs, that are still left out there. So I think it's healthy. We did, as we mentioned in the prepared remarks, enter into a collaboration with Fresenius Medical Services where we are now going to start doing the lab testing associated with dialysis treatment in our regional labs. In addition, Fresenius also provided third party laboratory testing services for other dialysis centers, and we purchased that small book of business, and that, too, will come into Quest Diagnostics. So that represents, as I mentioned, over 200,000 dialysis patients. Patients getting tested at least once a month and that represents a nice chunk of volume that will be coming our way when we officially close on this later in this year. Great. Thanks so much.

Thanks Thanks operator. Thank you. Our next question comes from Tycho Peterson with Jefferies. Your line is open. You may ask your question.

Hey, this is Noah on for Tycho. Thanks for taking our question. I wanted to ask about Haystack, particularly and now you're receiving commercial orders, how you're thinking about reimbursement submissions and timelines? And then on the data side, anything you think still needs to be done to generate more evidence? Thanks. Yes. So as we discussed in in the remarks, we launched the 75 customers that were part of the early experience program. And many of those customers are continuing to do business with Quest Diagnostics. In terms of reimbursement, the test is being offered to Medicare and patients in commercial plans we offer to any patient. We've just started to submit for reimbursement. We're working with, one of the big MACs on getting the coding and coverage policies in place. And, you know, that requires a bit of time, and it requires a bit of reimbursement experience. And that experience is well underway.

And in terms of evidence, stay tuned. We'll continue to work on potential evidence as we move forward here. Yeah. You'll see more and more publications in the fruits of the ongoing clinical trials that Haystack had in place even before we purchased them. Well well more than a year ago.

Operator, next question Next question comes Thank you. Our next question comes from David Westenberg Piper Sandler. Your line is open. You may ask your question.

Hi. Thank you very much. So I just wanted to on the collaboration with Google Cloud to streamline data management and use generate do GeniAI to personalize customer experience and employee experience exploring experiences. How does that translate into some of the financial benefits? I was thinking about maybe the personalized customer retained personalized customer one, maybe you you know, you get higher compliance rate in testing or something like that. And you know, does the employee one need to maybe some some benefits from from the cost side? What kind of specific KPIs should we be looking at to measure success in here, this [indiscernible] So step one in the overall relationship with Google Cloud is is simply the movement of what I call pockets of that result that reside in a lot of various places across Quest Diagnostics, mostly on premise. So, the benefits of moving that information to the cloud I'll I'll give you a couple. One, we have a data analytics business. And whenever we have to search, the entire Quest database, you know, it's a complex task today. To, you know, basically conduct searches across data that's sitting in pockets all across the country in various places.

So it's really gonna improve the efficiency and the effectiveness of our data analytics business. That business is primarily serving pharmaceutical companies, CROs. It serves the health plans, and it's really gonna make that business, more efficient, more effective. And will lead to greater growth. In terms of, you you know, some of the, you know, benefits for employees, for customers, You know, our our our employees that are constantly searching databases to get information for patients, to get information for physicians, It'll speed up those searches. Know, at some point, we're gonna allow you know, you know, AI based chat services for physicians and, and patients to get the information that they need. Honestly, at some point look. Patients and physicians, you know, we have a test menu of over 4,500 tests. If you think every physician knows exactly what test to order at what specific time for what specific condition they're seeing, it it's it's just beyond the capability of many, many physicians. So having those types of Gen AI interactive tools that allow patients and physicians to query our test menu and understand what is the best type of vitamin D test to order, what is the best type of testosterone test to order is really gonna make their lives easier, faster, simpler, and actually get, you know, the best information into their hands.

So those are some of the quick, easy things that we're anticipating with this, but it starts with having our data in one location, easy to access, streamlined, efficient, and and leading to higher quality answers.

Thank you so much.

Thank you. Our next question comes from Michael Rysen Bank of America. Your line is open. You may ask your question.

Great. Thanks for taking the question. I got just one, I'll roll everything together. Just wondering if you could give us your latest thoughts on other policy regulatory updates from D. C. That could happen this year, especially anything on PAMA salsa, what your latest thoughts are on that? And then sort of tying into that, some concern about potential cuts to Medicare and Medicaid. Just how should we think about that potential risk of the business?

Thanks. Yeah. So let's start with the cuts on Medicare Medicaid. At this point, if anything, the Medicare Advantage plans just got a nice rate increase. So we are pleased with that, and and that should certainly help. In our discussions with Medicare Advantage plans around the country. There's a lot being written around Medicaid, potential cuts There's a lot being written around exchange, the APA exchange related. But at this point, those bills are moving through the House and senate. There's a reconciliation process. So I think it's it's too early to tell. What I would tell you is you know, Medicaid and managed Medicaid collectively, it's about 8% of our entire business, so it's certainly not the biggest portion what we do, but we're watching it watching it closely. Anything, would say there appears to be support of the exchange plan, the ACA plan that's actually in place today. So we feel optimistic about that. In terms of other regulatory things going on in DC, again, first, we were pleased with the outcome of of the lawsuit on LDT regulation. Very pleased with that outcome. As we said in the prepared remarks, we still have elements of our business that are FDA regulated, including our work around companion diagnostics.

Our clinical lab work that we do for pharmaceutical companies with patients that are in clinical trials, all of that still remains in a regulated type of environment. In terms of PAMA and PAMA reform, so now that we have the FDA LDT issue behind us, I would tell you the most important thing for our trade association, ACLA, and for ourselves to work from a regulatory standpoint is PAMA reform. As you know, we have a new congress, which means, and you have a a new majority position in the House. So we are working with, you know, the our trade association is actively working with the three committees that really set health care policy, the House Ways and Means Committee, House Energy and Commerce, Senate Finance Committee, There I would tell you there's broad bipartisan support to actually get something done this year in terms of PAMA reform. So now if it looks like, if we're moving into the back half, of the year and we don't see progress, we'll certainly push for another delay, a six delay in the cuts. That were anticipated, six years ago. Great. Thank you so much. Thank you. You're welcome.

Thank you, Rhonda. Our next question comes from Andrew Brackmann with William Blair. You may ask your question. Your line is open.

Hi, guys. Good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. Maybe another one just on the macro side of things. You know, there's there's been some discussion around the potentials for for recession later this year.

So you sort of think about the business, how it's set up today, so what's of withstand any demand pressures from unemployment rates. Going higher? How does that sort of how has it changed over the last handful of years? And how might a recessionary demand sort of shock be different today versus say, o '8, o '9?

Thanks.

Yeah. So good question. And, you know, the first thing I ask you, you know, to keep in mind is, look, it's important to remember patients access, you know, the health care system. And they need, you know, access to affordable lab testing, in any environment, okay, whether the economy is booming or the economy is in a recession. We provide really essential services that are needed for both providers and for patients. Now it's not to say we're recession proof. If you go back to, you know, the great recession of, 02/2009, 02/2010, we did see a modest impact on our volumes in 02/2009. It was about a 70 basis point reduction And in 2010, it was a little bit bigger, you know, about 1%. But remember, when people get laid off, generally, they have benefits that continue or COBRA benefits that provide coverage. So there is a layer of insurance for some period of time for most people that lose their jobs. So while we're not recession proof, we believe you know, health care services, in particular diagnostic lab testing, you know, are still really essential. All for the health and well-being of all human beings.

Yeah. And, Andrew, I I would add a couple of things as well to to Jim's comments. One, everything that Jim said, but there's also more safety nets. Today than there were back in 02/2009. Know, you've got the Affordable Care Act. So, you know, people have, in general, some more coverage in terms of or backup coverage in terms of what's out there through the ACA. And even if we look back at the last great recession, patient collection rates held fairly steady. So obviously, we'll monitor those. We'll make sure that we maintain our patient assistance programs and all that. But patient concession rates did not really spike up materially back in 02/2009.

Great. Thanks guys.

Thank you. Our next question comes from Jack Meehan with Nephron Research. Your line is open. You may ask your question.

Thank you. Good morning, guys.

Morning. I just had a couple of follow ups The first was don't think I heard it earlier. Just what was the final impact from weather when you you know, take what you experienced in January and February and [indiscernible] [indiscernible] question number one. And then question number two, just, you know, Sam, last quarter you provided some helpful commentary around EPS cadence, was just curious if you still think that's a good way to think about how the guidance is set up for the year. Thank you.

Sure. Yeah. I'll take the first one, Jack. So, in terms of weather, we set it on a year over year basis point, a year over year basis, it was a fifth point impact in terms of volume. We said the one less day, the leap year was worth a 10 basis points, so 160 altogether. Now yes, at our Investor Day, we suggested that our revenue would be lighter in the quarter. Remember, that was at the March. We prepared those things. The March, our actual volume, and there was some weather during that March, was actually light. But we saw a really strong recovery in the last three weeks March which we mentioned has continued into 04/01/2019, twenty days of April, Our volume trends have been in line with what we were seeing in Q3 and Q4 of last year.

Yeah. And and that's yes, for sure. And Jack, remember, the 05% of weather is a year over year So it's incremental to what we saw in last year. Has an impact on growth. And from an EPS perspective, the seasonality is, I think, consistent with what we've talked about in the past in terms of traditional seasonality. So EPS in Q2 being the highest quarter Q3 is a slight step down, Q4 is a step down from that. But second lowest quarter of the year in terms of EPS cadence. And then Q1, is usually the lowest EPS that we get. So Q1 is [indiscernible] Of the year. So that type of seasonality, I think, is still realistic to assume.

You. Our last question comes from Erin Wright with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open. You may ask your question. Great. Thanks. So you mentioned continuing investments that you're making to I guess, that would offset the app or what would have been kind of the LDT pool? I guess, what are those in terms of what you're making there and what's incremental to what you were thinking previously?

You also mentioned labor expenses. Like, was anything has anything changed on that front? In terms of what you're seeing or your expectations there? And then just more broadly speaking around kind of expenses, I guess, you speak to some of the offsetting factors or leverage you have from here in response to whether it's inflationary pressures like labor costs or any direct indirect impacts kind of from tariffs that you were mentioning before? Thanks.

Alright. So let me, comment first on the investments from an FDA perspective, and then I'll have Sam make some comments on the labor outlook and if we So as we said at Investor Day expected to spend about, $10,000,000 of incremental cost investment to prepare for the FDA LDT rule. And now that was really centered on two things that the FDA asked us to have in place for year one. One was the build out a complaint handling unit and, two, was enabling the output of that complaint handling unit, which is analysis of complaints that potentially turn into MDRs, medical device [indiscernible] Reports, and to have that, the ability to exchange information with the FDA and then in electronic means. Now we're not gonna spend $0, and we're likely not to spend $10,000,000 this year. However, as I mentioned, we have a growing companion diagnostics business. We have a life sciences business that does clinical trial work for both supporting 40 countries around the world all which operate in various ISO frameworks. That require some type of regulatory framework. So we we still have some infrastructure needs to be put in place. We still actually do need to have a complaint handling unit.

It may not need 40 resources. It may need something much smaller than that to support the other elements of our business that, again, are growing operate under FDA regulation today. So, again, the answer is not zero. The answer is not 10. Somewhere in between that, But we expect to continue to improve the regulatory and quality organization that we have in place here at Quest today. Sam? Yes. And just in general on expenses. So let me break it down into three things. So labor, first of all, which is a big piece, our expectation is still somewhere in the 3% to 4% in terms of wage inflation this year. In terms of retention, or turnover, turnover is now somewhere in the mid to high teens. So an improvement definitely versus where we ended 2024, which was around 19% or so, approximately 19 I would say we're approaching pre pandemic rates in terms of turnover. Which was somewhere around 1414% -ish. So we're making good progress there Turnover is definitely improving, which improves productivity, which improves our expenses as well. And impacts potentially wage inflation. SG and A, we continue to drive leverage SG and A. And you talked about some of the areas that we focus on in terms of managing expenses, SG and A is one of them.

Our goal is to not grow SG and A more than half of the rate of growth of revenues, at most, I would say. That's our target and that's our focus. And then finally and really importantly, Invigorate as a whole, which is to offset the impacts of inflation, wage inflation, any other major cost drivers in our business is to offset them through Invigorate of approximately 3% productivity and cost improvement. And I would say we're on track and we've got that target this year. We're executing towards it. Operator, any more questions in the queue?

At this time, I'm showing no further questions. I'll turn the call back over to your speakers.

Okay. Thanks again for joining our call today, and we certainly appreciate your continued support. And have a great day, everyone.

Thank you for participating in the Quest Diagnostics first Quarter twenty twenty five Conference Call. A transcript of prepared remarks on this call will be posted later today on Quest Diagnostics' website at www.questdiagnostics.com. A replay of the call may be accessed online at wwwquestdiagnostics.com/investor or by phone at (866) 361-4757. Domestic callers, or (203) 369-0183 for international callers. Telephone replays will be available from approximately 10:30AM eastern time on 04/22/2025 until midnight eastern time July first of twenty twenty five. Goodbye.