Euronet Worldwide, Inc. Price & Performance (EEFT)

Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Euronet's fourth quarter twenty twenty four earnings conference call. On today's call, we have Mike Brown, our Chairman and CEO and Rick Weller, our CFO. Before we begin, I'd like to call your attention to the forward looking statements disclaimer on the second slide of the PowerPoint presentation we'll be making today. Statements made on this call that concern Euronet or its management's intentions, expectations or predictions of future performance are forward looking statements. Euronet's actual results may vary materially from those anticipated in these forward looking statements as a result of a number of factors, including those listed on the second slide of our presentation. In addition, the PowerPoint presentation includes a reconciliation of the non GAAP financial measures we'll be using during the call to the most comparable GAAP measures. At this time, I'll turn the call over to our CFO, Rick Vaughn.

Thanks, Adam. Welcome, everyone. Today, I will provide some brief comments about our fourth quarter twenty twenty four as well as the full year 2024. With that, I'll begin my comments for the fourth quarter on Slide five. We delivered a record fourth quarter on all key financial metrics. We delivered revenue of $1,000,000,000 operating income of $123,000,000 and adjusted EBITDA of $166,000,000 Leading the way was EFT with double digit constant currency growth across all financial metrics. Money Transfer delivered constant currency fourth quarter revenue growth of 9%, adjusted operating income growth of 12% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 9% compared to the prior year fourth quarter. EPay delivered double digit constant currency growth of 10% to 12% across all financial metrics. Our adjusted EPS was up 10% compared to the prior year fourth quarter and exceeded consensus analyst estimates of a range of $2.02 to $2.06 depending on which consensus source you use. I'd like to also point out that while the $2.08 adjusted EPS is an excellent finish for the year, it would have been about $0.03 to $0.04 higher if not for the decline in FX rates throughout the quarter. Moreover, the fourth quarter, we continued our track record of producing strong free cash flows producing nearly $65,000,000 In the quarter, we took the opportunity to repurchase about 500,000.0 shares 500,000.0 of our shares.

Given the timing of the repurchases, there was only a marginal benefit about $0.05 or less than 0.25% to our fourth quarter adjusted EPS. But we as you know and we know, these repurchases will improve earnings per share by a percent for all future periods. Next slide please. Slide six shows our results on a reported basis. On a year over year basis, the currency headwind impact was modest with differences in the major currencies in the low single digits. To normalize the impacts of these currency changes, we presented our results adjusted for currency on the next slide. On slide seven, it shows our results adjusted for currency fluctuations. EFT revenue grew 13%, operating income grew 35% and adjusted EBITDA grew 19%. Revenue, adjusted operating income and adjusted EBITDA growth in the fourth quarter twenty twenty four was driven by some continued extension of the travel season in Europe, which shifted tourism related revenue from the third quarter to the fourth quarter. Growth in the merchant services business, growth from new market expansion and attentive cost management. Revenue and operating margins benefited from rate increases related to interchange and domestic and international access fees in certain existing markets.

Epay revenue grew 10% operating income and EBITDA each 12%. Epay's double digit growth was driven by continued growth in the core Epay business, including strong growth in digital branded content together with promotional campaigns. Money transfer grew 9%, revenue grew 9%, operating income 12% and adjusted EBITDA 9%. Revenue, operating income and adjusted EBITDA was the result of growth was the result of 14% growth in The U. S. Outbound transactions, 11% growth in international originated money transfers and 8% growth in XE transactions, partially offset by a 14% decline in intra U. S. Business. These transaction growth rates included 33% growth in our direct to consumer digital transactions. Overall, we are very pleased that we have delivered double digit growth across all consolidated financial metrics. Moreover, these double digit growth rates produced operating margin expansions across all three segments. To use an old automotive maxim, we're hitting on all cylinders. Our fourth quarter momentum, growth trajectory and margin results nicely position us for a very good 2025. With that, I'll go to slide eight and make a few comments about our balance sheet. Slide eight presents a summary of our balance sheet compared to the prior quarter end.

As you can see, we ended the quarter with $1,300,000,000 in unrestricted cash and debt of $1,900,000,000 The net decrease in unrestricted cash and cash equivalents is the net result of working capital fluctuations, share repurchases, repayment of short term borrowings and cash generated from operations. This net decrease in debt was due to repayment of short term borrowings. Availability under the company's revolving credit facility was approximately $1,300,000,000 at year end compared to $670,000,000 at the September. The additional availability under the revolving credit facility was the result of an increase and extension of our credit facility in December from $1,250,000,000 to $1,900,000,000 The increase in our facility includes a 10 basis point reduction in our borrowing cost and highlights the strength of our banking partnerships and provides additional capital flexibility to continue to grow the business. As many of you know, we have a March 15 put date on our May convertible bonds. The indenture requires us to issue a notice next week informing the market of this put date, so you will likely see a procedural eight ks related to the repurchase notice. We anticipate that given where the bonds are trading and our current share price that the bondholders will exercise their put option.

We are fortunate to have a strong balance sheet, a good cash position, capacity on our revolver and the option to issue another convertible bond among other alternatives. We are watching the market and have the flexibility to be opportunistic to make the best capital decision for the company. I'll go to slide 10 now. As you know, we set adjusted earnings per share guidance range for 2024 at 10% to 15% and we said that we would be working hard to be at the high end or above that range. Well, we did exactly what we said by delivering above the high end of the range, rounding down to 15% growth year over year. For the full year 2024, we delivered record results across all financial metrics including consolidated revenue of $4,000,000,000 adjusted operating income of $500,000,000 and adjusted EBITDA of almost $700,000,000 Additionally, if you look more closely at the details behind the $8.61 adjusted EPS, you will see that we benefited from share repurchases. You will equally see that interest expense and income tax expense increased year over year. And further yet, you will see that the increase in interest and taxes was offset by the benefit from share repurchases, essentially boiling down the 15% increase in adjusted EPS attributable to the 16% increase in operating income.

That's real earnings from real operating growth. I'd say that's a high quality of earnings growth story. The full year results are largely in line with the fourth quarter, so I won't go through all the details again. However, I think it bears repeating that we are extremely pleased with the full year record revenue and adjusted earnings per share, driven by operating profits from all three segments. And we saw gross margins and operating margins expand year over year. Before I wrap up, I want to provide a bit more analysis around our adjusted EPS guidance. We expected our 0.25 adjusted EPS growth for the full year to be in the 12% to 16% range. We are currently forecasting in the first quarter a tax charge of approximately $0.2 to $0.25 per share attributable to state income tax expense related to the non recurring first quarter repurchase of the company's convertible bonds. This charge has been considered in our full year guidance, but will be recorded in the first quarter essentially front loading the tax, which obviously will make the first quarter look a little unusual. Further to this point, again fully considered in our guidance range, this additional tax will push our full year effective tax rate to the upper 20s.

Excluding this one time non recurring tax item, you will see that our annual effective tax rate is generally expected to be similar to this past year. It has been another great year at Euronet. And with that, I'll turn it over to Mike.

Good morning, everybody, and thank you for joining us. I'll begin my comments on Slide number 15. Well, we did it again. We delivered above the high end of the adjusted earnings per share guidance, actually a little better than 15%, but we rounded down to 15%. Moreover, our 2024 results were record results across all consolidated financial metrics, highlighted by operating income of over $500,000,000 with a 16% growth rate year over year. As we prepared for our thirty year celebration that we had last year, it was great to reflect on our success. We thought it would be fun to calculate the compounded annual growth rate of revenue. Most companies would be proud to say they've grown revenue at 37% compounded growth rate over thirty years as we did. Given everything that has happened in the past three decades, it is simply a remarkable achievement. The only time year over year revenue did not grow was during the pandemic in 2020 when the world literally shut down. And even then, two of our three segments grew and we produced positive cash flows from operations of over $100,000,000 We continue to deliver these strong double digit earnings growth rates because the principles that helped us grow for the last thirty years have shaped our business, our people and how we serve our customers.

As you can see on the right side of this slide, we also have shown a remarkable ability to see changes in the market and not just adjust but thrive in the face of these changes and challenges. While no one knows what the financial landscape might look like in another thirty years, our track record indicates that we will be ready to capitalize on the opportunities ahead. However, as I reflected on our results this year, I could not help but wonder why the market does not always share my enthusiasm about Euronet's results and our future opportunities. For instance, an analyst once told me, you guys are great operators here at Euronet, but I don't see a future for your model. That made me realize we need to clarify precisely what we built and why Euronet is a well positioned business operating in a very large market with multiple diversified revenue streams poised to produce growth in the future. Let's go on to the next slide, Slide number 16. This is a big one here. To quickly recap our extraordinary journey, we began our path in the EFT sector by deploying our own ATMs, which quickly expanded to processing for banks, running their ATMs and offering access to R. But even in those early days, we recognized a tremendous opportunity for innovation.

Today, we operate three segments that each complement one another and represent a collection of assets that have positioned Euronet as a global leader in the payments industry. Beginning five years ago, we recognized that we had assets and technology that with investment could allow us to double down on our digital endeavors. The result, as you can see on this slide, our revenue surged by an impressive 45% from $2,800,000,000 to $4,000,000,000 between 2019 and 2024, While our ATM network revenue, the dark blue here that you see on this pie chart, as a percentage of the total revenue decreased from 25% to 19%, it still grew by 9%. Today, only 19% of our revenue is generated from Euronet owned ATM. While Euronet owned ATM revenue is growing and our other revenue streams are but the other revenue streams are growing at a faster pace. We invested heavily in card acquiring, in RAN, Dandelion, Digital Money Transfer, ePay, and you can see the results. Said differently and simply, while I am very proud of our heritage, we're not just in the ATM business. Now let's briefly discuss the global payments market. Based on a 2024 report issued by McKinsey and Company entitled Global Payments in 2024, the global payment industry handled $3,400,000,000,000 transactions and a revenue pool of $2,400,000,000,000 or just over 13 basis points per dollar process.

The market revenue pool is predicted to grow at a rate of 5% per year. Moreover, Euronet has focused on the more profitable subsegments of the market as evidenced in the revenue per dollar process for us being more than 20 times the market average. Euronet revenue grew 10% in 2024, twice as fast as the predicted market rate of growth. With less than 1% of the overall revenue pool and a focus on higher value payments, we have a lot of room to grow. In the past three decades, we've built an unmatched set of assets, technology and expertise that have positioned us as a global leader in payment processing, cross border payments and foreign exchange. The payments industry is growing and it is not surprising that we are outpacing the market growth. What will it take to grow in the future? Well, let's review what the industry experts are saying. I'm on Slide number 17 now. In the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four, the Boston Consulting Group published research surrounding the current state of the payments industry. The title of the article was Fortune Favors the Bold. BCG focused on four disruptions within the payments industry that are and will be reshaping the payments landscape.

The first was macroeconomic pressure second, slowing digital payment conversions from cash to digital regulatory scrutiny and cost pressures and technological inefficiencies. One of the more interesting findings in BCG's research was that cash to digital payment conversion is plateauing. The BCG research study indicated that payment companies need to adapt to these four disruptions quickly to survive. As I reflected on this slide, I couldn't help but think we had an advanced copy of this slide four to five years ago. The cash to digital plateauing observation, rather we saw it accelerating, which it did. But several years ago, we saw the global payments model would be changing, which drove us to develop REN, Dandelion and Skylight to name some of the more prominent ones. We weren't just sitting around milking the profits, we were investing in the future. In response to the need for modern technology, EFT launched RAN in 2019 and RAN is the most versatile, real time POS and ATM switching system and the first modern platform that is database independent, platform independent and microservices architected. In response to the need to reinvent payments for banks, Money Transfer launched Dandelion in 2021. Dandelion is the largest real time cross border payments network in the world, enabling payments into billions of bank accounts, cash pickup locations and billions of wallets worldwide.

In response to the need to strengthen risk and compliance functions, you might remember we have a pristine record there ourselves through our money transfer business, we launched Skylight. Skylight is a proprietary compliance solution launched in 2023. Finally, in response to the need to engage in emerging infrastructure, Euronet has built a powerful network of assets all over the world. Our network covers all three segments and includes over 50,000 ATMs, access to 4,100,000,000 bank accounts, 3,100,000,000 wallet accounts and over 600,000 physical locations to send and receive money. We're connected to over two fifty banks. All the major RTP systems and wallets, essentially, we offer our customers the ability to get money in and out of the network in whichever form they want and it's not just the network, it's foreign exchange as well. The FX, licenses, compliance and settlements to handle any form of payment, domestic and cross border. Our assets represent our strength and a significant barrier to market entry for new competition. It takes time, it takes money and expertise to establish the infrastructure that we have built in 67 countries to get payments all over the world. As I mentioned earlier, these key areas for long term success are BCG's suggestions for industry participants to implement today.

However, Euronet has already checked all of these boxes. In fact, we started checking them five years ago to establish Euronet as an industry leader. Our motto is lead, follow or get out of the way. And as you can see, we chose to lead. Now I'm on slide number 18. Now let's get a little bit more visibility into our specific strategic growth drivers. But aside from our products and markets, let's not overlook our strong balance sheet and investment grade credit rating and a $1,900,000,000 credit facility. When coupling financial strength with world class assets, technology and products in a huge market, we are well positioned to continue strong double digit growth well into the future. As you can see here, our business model is built on two key revenue pillars that will continue to expand as payment functionality evolves and becomes more and more global. The first pillar is the payment and transaction processing pillar with which we facilitate high volume transactions for banks, merchants and branded partners, continually expanding our use cases to stay aligned with evolving demand. The second is cross border and foreign exchange, with which we power our FX related use cases and distribute foreign exchange services through a mix of owned and third party channels spanning both physical and digital touch points to meet consumer business payment needs.

Hopefully, you can see how the combination of payments, cross border and FX enables us to produce revenues revenues per dollars moved at more than 20 times the global payments average. While the methods have and will likely continue to evolve, we believe that it's fairly safe to say that people will always need to make payments. Euronet will continue to lead the way wherever, whenever and however people want to pay or move money. Now let's move to Slide number 19 and I'll bring out the specific elements of each revenue pillar for each segment beginning with EFT. Slide number 19. In EFT, our focus on expanding the core services that we provide to banks and fintechs are led by these can be seen by these five categories in five areas. First, expansion of fees, including price increases in domestic and international interchange and the introduction of domestic and international access fees into additional markets. We have real time payment process. We have expansion of our card and POS acquiring business, which grew profits at over 300% over the last three years. We're taking advantage of ATM as a Service opportunities and serving customer to business payment needs. This quarter, we were able to expand our ATM as a Service offering to the Baltics.

The governments in these countries, like many others, have mandated that banks give customers the option to access physical cash and the bank recognizes that they could accomplish this with better technology at a lower cost by utilizing our platform. In merchant acquiring in the fourth quarter, we added more than 8,000 traditional POS terminals and more than 2,000 merchants with digital with a digital POS solution. Finally, in 2024, we saw regulation change in several markets, which allowed us to introduce domestic and international direct access fees. We expect to be able to add several more markets in 2025, increasing our revenue generating potential. The revenue opportunities in the EFT segment continue to grow, driven by a strong asset base and an industry leading modern technology platform that can serve banks and fintechs well into the future. I am confident in our ability to continue to grow the profits of this business at strong double digit rates in 2025 and beyond. Now I'm on slide number 20, we'll talk about ePay. As I mentioned last quarter, ePay is the perfect example of our ability to utilize our assets to create new revenue generating opportunities from our early beginnings of converting prepaid mobile scratch cards to digital pins to our diversification from prepaid mobile airtime distribution to processing of third party branded content, ePay has always been a pioneer in the industry.

EPay continues to offer consumers and businesses omni channel distribution opportunities for our branded payments partners. In the fourth quarter, our epay team signed an agreement with Blizzard Entertainment for code distribution for global digital brands. We also expanded our payment process through a new agreement with Amazon Pay to launch a new gift card service. This initiative introduces a dedicated gift card section within Amazon Pay, offering a fresh avenue for customer engagement and distribution of gift cards with local retail brands. Finally, we signed an agreement with Evolv Bank to provide transaction monitoring and anti money laundering reporting capabilities using our Skylight compliance as a service solution. Now let's move to the next slide and we'll discuss money transfer. As we discuss the money transfer segment, I would like to highlight Dandelion as a key growth engine into the future. With access to over 4,000,000,000 bank accounts, 3,000,000,000 wallet accounts and 600,000 physical locations worldwide, Dandelion stands as the most strategic cross border network for moving money globally. Beyond traditional family remittance services, Dandelion allows us to tap into new cross border payment markets, unlike unlocking opportunities in a $15,000,000,000,000 industry, nearly 20 times the size of the remittance market.

With our superior product and competitive DNA, we are well positioned to capture market share as banks and businesses recognize the value of this offering. Now let's dive into the standout money transfer performance in the fourth quarter. The results were nothing short of exceptional underscoring our leadership in the marketplace and the growing momentum across our global distribution channels. Our money transfer segment delivered outstanding results this quarter, reinforcing our market leadership and momentum. We achieved double digit transaction growth with the core business outpacing market growth by 2.5 times. Our digital transactions grew 33 compared to the prior year and our digital payout grew 31% compared to the prior year, representing 54% of our total volume. That's a big asset that people just don't get. Moreover, our strategic partnerships and geographical expansion remains central to our success. A prime example is our collaboration with PLS Financial Services, which launched in the third quarter. Our first full quarter post launch lived up to expectations, yielding substantial volume with transactions in 160 countries and territories. On the back of this launch, we assigned two additional check cashing chains. On the geo expansion front, we are increasing our remittance TAM by expanding to Mexico, Philippines and Thailand outbound markets.

To wrap up money transfer, let's discuss Dandelion wholesale, our cutting edge cross border payments platform, which continues to power major players in the industry. A prime example of this was the launch of a new digital outbound service partner in the fourth quarter, Al Hilal Bank in The UAE, the second largest outbound market in the world according to the World Bank. With our expanding sales team driving more deals, our pipeline is stronger than ever with growing momentum, signing four new partners in the fourth quarter Guava Pay, a U. K. Based payment provider serving customers and SMEs Orbit Remit, a leading digital MSB in New Zealand and Australia Panda Remit, an MSB headquartered in Singapore, originating transactions from 39 countries with a strong position in Asia. And finally, we are excited to announce our new partnership with Ant Financial or Ant International, one of the largest and most innovative fintechs in the world. Finally, we currently originate transfers from about 60% to 65% of the global remittance market. It's those markets where we have licenses to have an outbound, send. Similar to Ria's expansion history, we will continue to expand to new markets, whereby in the next few years, we expect to be at about 80% to 85% of the market with licenses, essentially more than 30% growth opportunity from market expansion alone.

Hopefully, you can see that there is a clear path here of continued growth in the Money Transfer segment. Let's move up move on to the next slide and we'll wrap up the quarter. So, after all this activity over thirty years, the two fundamental revenue generating pillars that we have discussed are at the core of our success. First, it's payment and transaction processing and the second is cross border and foreign exchange. As I mentioned earlier, our leadership team continues to deliver a strategy that checks all of the boxes for long term growth as suggested by the Boston Consulting Group. Moreover, we will continue to leverage on our fundamental revenue generating pillars of strength to grow. Our revenue mix continues to shift as we make investments, acquire companies and launch new products. In 2024, only 19% of our 4,000,000,000 in revenue was from our ATM owned network. As we have explained, we have a robust and diversified business model that plays in a $2,400,000,000,000 revenue global payments market with essentially endless potential for growth. Supporting our model, we have our core assets, we have our Wren technology, our Dandelion network, our proprietary and embedded compliance expertise, global footprint of licensed and regulated industry I mean entities, distribution partners in the form of banks, retailers, company owned stores, ATMs and POS terminals.

We have solid earnings and a very robust balance sheet that can support future growth initiatives. And our people, the best I could ask for was a proven winning track record and unbending ethics. One thing is to have these assets in one or two markets, but a completely different game is to have them at scale at a global level. As we said, there are high barriers to entry to be in a position to go after this immense market. We are not in the building mode. We are in the execution mode and extremely well equipped to do so. Our business stands on the foundation of these assets and we have a go to market strategy for our revenue pillars through our three different segments, enabling Euronet to reach the world of payments, transaction processing, cross border payments, foreign exchange and so forth through our network of networks. We are currently growing two times faster than the global payments market rate of growth and we expect that to continue. As I conclude my remarks, I want to repeat, we look forward to another great year in 2025 with a pipeline of opportunities to drive our results. We expect another strong year in 2025 with a 12 to 16% earnings growth.

With that, I'll be happy to take questions. Operator, will you please assist? And our first question comes from Reina Kumar of Oppenheimer. Your line is open.

Good morning, Mike and Rick. Nice results here. Could you talk a little bit about what gave you confidence in raising your initial EPS outlook for 2025? And if you can help us understand what are the drivers by segment that your 12% to 16% EPS growth implies?

Well, let's not forget, we I think we hit the number for this year like 15.3%. So we hit the high end of our 10% to 15% range last year. We've got all the assets that I've just talked about for the last half hour. And we've got momentum really in all three business segments. So it isn't one thing in particular. I've itemized them in my comments on each of the three, but we've just got a really strong backlog and a lot of momentum in all three segments. So, particularly our digital segment, I mean, that stuff's growing like a freaking weed, thirty plus percent in all those kinds of areas. And we just I can just I don't think it's any one thing, Reyna. I mean, you get things like an EFT where we're getting where we've got our merchant services is growing like crazy. It grew 300% over the last three years. We do our ATM as a Service business. More and more banks are being mandated by their governments to provide easy access to cash to their customers and these banks have recognized that we can do this for them better than they can do it themselves.

And then of course we have our own ATM network ourselves where we've got lots of DAP and other things changing to our benefit, interchanges and so forth. And then you go to ePay, we just we continue to we're locked in with all these big brands in the world. And they keep bringing us to new markets and that's very exciting. We've got that Skylight product where we now have our really kind of our second customer for that. We've pioneered this with a similar kind of solution for Kroger some number of years ago. Now we've productized that and we're making this available to banks and we've signed our first bank. And then you go to money transfer, shoot, look at that, 33% growth in our digital payments, 30% I forgot what it was, 31% or something like that percent that we're paying out now into digital channels of which we have $3,100,000,000 I mean it's just across the board we have a lot of stuff cooking.

Yes, that's great. Very helpful. And then if we can just get any help on our models, just how growth can look by segment and anything you can say on your expectations for the quarter? No, I think well, again, we will put in ATMs where we can make money. The new markets are still screamingly, these developing markets, they're going to have cash for the next maybe ever and not just the next twenty years. And so those new markets are certainly expansion areas, but I won't we'll just keep putting ATMs in where they're profitable and we still see that as a big profit center for us and growth area. The interesting thing is the rest of the company is keeping up or overtaking it. So we're and you saw that our revenues in 2019 were 25% of our revenues and now we're down to 19% while we grew our total revenue by 45%. So it's just the whole company is growing around the world and we're pretty excited. You'll have to fill in your own cells in your spreadsheet.

All right.

But Reina, what I would offer without giving you a bunch of numbers is, as Mike said, the business is doing well. We were fortunate to have a great deal of consistency, which is brought about because of a lot of good diversity in our business. We're a very geographically diverse business. We've got very diverse consumer products, ranges from direct to consumer to working with banks and things like that. So I would tell you, I would expect to see similar kinds of results. Again, this past year, we grew operating income 16%. Each of the businesses contributed to that growth. So given that we've got good momentum, we would expect to see similar continuity as we go into 2025. And again, as Mike said, mathematically, we were slightly above 15. So look, we're as we said last year, throughout the year, we were driving to be at or above the range. And you know what, we delivered that. We actually delivered outside of the range, above the range. So I think there's a number of things there in terms of the confidences of our business, continuity of the business that will give us the ability to achieve excellent results.

That's helpful. Thank you both.

Thank you. Our next question comes from Gus Gala of Monness, Crespi, Hart and Company. Your line is open.

Hey, good morning, Mike and Rick. Thank you for taking our questions. Nice job on the quarter and the year. Can we start off on money transfer? Anything you're I mean, clearly you're outgrowing the industry very nicely. Digital continues to rip, I think it's like fourth, fifth quarter of acceleration in branded transactions. Anything you're seeing intra quarter domestically in terms of foot traffic and brick and mortar, any insight into that? And then just longer term in money transfer, how should we be thinking just not to get like a number exactly, but the puts and takes of you have more and more digital, which seems to be margin accretive as what we've heard on the prior calls. You're going to be going into more geos where you have less share, so might or something will be lower contribution margin versus growing share in existing markets. So that's my first one. And I have a follow-up.

Okay. So and a quick comment on your last comment. As you go into new geos, a lot of times these geos may only have one player or two players. So, what you actually find when you go into a new geo is your margins are fatter, because you've got either a monopoly or an oligopoly there and they're basically milking the market. And so then we enter the market and we kind of equalize that with even, we can be a little bit cheaper and still get a ton of market share and be higher than our average around the world. So money transfer is we've got some long term opportunities getting into new geos and then we're going to just keep growing like we have in the current geos. And having all the touch points for payout is really our single most biggest asset. And I would add to that is our fundamental operating structure. We work off of a single platform. Each time we go into a market, we're not having to redevelop the process. We leverage our technology across these businesses. Even for example, we don't have to set up different customer service centers because we use AI applications to toggle between languages.

I mean, so we're our operations are fitted. And again, we're not we haven't just gone into our first country. We've got 60 some countries. We've been doing this for years. So each time we roll into another market, we're not starting from ground zero. We're simply leveraging the consistent infrastructure that we have and that's been made even more efficient by some of the more technology types of things we roll out. And as Mike said, we're able to go in there, offer a good value proposition, probably better than a couple of the folks that have dominated those markets and milked them before. And so it works out real nicely. And if you look back at RIA, we acquired RIA and it was there were 40 some thousand locations. We were it was principally a U. S. Based outbound kind of business, right? We're all over the world and we continue to grow those margins. So I think that we're well positioned to take advantage of that as we go on. Thank you. Those comments are really helpful. And on the not to harp too much on this, on the 12% to 16% guide, how we took it last year, that 10% to 15% bogey seemed like a medium ish frame medium time framework, medium run framework.

Should we be taking the 12 to 16 to not replace the 10 to 15? Is the 10 to 15 a good number we kind of have in the out years in our model? And with that, I'll jump back in the queue.

You look, our average over the last twenty years, including the ugly years of COVID was thirteen point five percent. And if you take COVID out, it's going to be a lot higher than that. So I'm hoping that we could stick to twelve percent to sixteen percent for a long time. And if I can get that higher, I'll get that higher.

Great. Super encouraging. Thank you.

Also I'd like to also share somebody is going to ask this question, so I'll answer it in advance. There's been a lot of action going on in the press about immigration. And so we went back and we looked through Trump One, which had similar kinds of notoriety and we found that it actually Trump One really did not affect our money transfer business at all. In fact, what we see is the biggest contributor to strong money transfer growth is a strong economy. At the end of the day, a strong economy means more jobs for more people, including people who have families overseas. So if you believe that we can have a good strong economy going forward, then we're going to be a lot better off in money transfer. You can go on to the next question.

Thank you. And our next question comes from Chris Kennedy of William Blair. Your line is open.

Yes. Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. Hi, thanks for taking my question and the results I think speak for themselves. The business mix on Slide 16 is really helpful. Is there any way to think about some of your newer initiatives such as Wren, Dandelion and Skylight is very small?

Yes. Well, Skylight just kind of started, you're right. I mean, if you just look at the two pie charts, I mean, it's hard to see from looking at them, but when you go when you grow 45%, even and don't forget COVID was in the middle where we went to hell, okay, it shows that each of those are growing. You know, epay is growing, it's 2928%, but it's now 45% bigger. So we will see I think we're going to see rent the way rent works is these are transaction based licenses. So as the banks who sign up with us sign up, they have kind of almost a hyperbolic curve for issuance of cards or doing real time payments or whatever it is. So you end up making more money every year than you did the prior year. So you'll just see a bigger and bigger contribution there.

Got it. Understood. And then just broadly on Wren, I think most of the businesses outside of The U. S. Just what's the market perception on that business and kind of what how do you think of the growth opportunities there?

Yes. So the growth opportunities with the first place that we were able to sell this is into Asia. And why is that? Because Asia is when it comes to banking, they're way more technologically advanced than The U. S. And they've got real time payment systems across most of those countries. We pioneered RTP actually with the first settlement system for UPI, which is the big real time payment switch in India like fifteen years ago. So we have a lot of expertise there. That's now moving to the rest of the world. We finally have FedNow in The U. S. We'll be able to go to customers here in The U. S. Now that that was kind of a we'll just call it a nascent version of that was launched last summer. And so and we've got several deals that were cooking in The U. S. As well. But we actually didn't even deploy sales guys in The U. S. Till two years after Asia, because the Asia the Asian banks and fintechs were early adopters and right there on the forefront of technology and they could appreciate our superior technology. So you'll see more in, we'll call them the Western markets as we go forward, but we still see a lot.

I mean, we've got something like five or six banks in India connected to their real time payment system through RenConnect. We've got four banks in The Philippines doing the same thing to their real time payment switch. We've got African ones. So the emerging markets were the easiest ones because they wanted to jump past the whole card thing altogether. And so we'll just kind of keep in touch. We'll have more and more.

Got it. Thanks for taking the questions.

Thank you. Our next question comes from Pete Heckman of D. A. Davidson. Your line is open.

Hey, good morning, everyone. Thanks for taking the question. I'm more just trying to understand the first quarter commentary here. If I remember correctly, you had about 0.15 of benefits in the first quarter of twenty twenty four percent and now you're talking about a 20% to 25% higher tax provision in the first quarter due to the repurchase of the converts. So just shaking out, I mean, I just want to make sure we're in the right ballpark, but something around $1.1 is that in the ballpark of what your math works out to?

Yes, I guess maybe another way to look at it is if you were at the higher end of the number you articulated and then you put $0.2 to $0.25 on top of that, that probably starts putting you in the right ballpark. So, yes, I would tell you I'm not so sure that your math is directionally incorrect.

Okay. Okay. And then in terms of can you talk about some of the success with Dandelion and some of the new bank partners and channel partners? I guess, are you seeing volumes ramp? Can you extract that and then talk a little bit about the trends there? And then any relatively larger customers that you expect to onboard this year?

Well, we have several large customers in process and we're excited about them that we should be announcing over the next couple of quarters. Maybe our you might call it our best our most well known customer is HSBC. They're in Asia. They're all over the place. Their customers are all over the place. They're making banking payments. They use this to do C2B and B2B kind of payments. We have not we've been live with them now, let me count it out, about sixteen months. Every single month has been a record over the prior month. So what people find out is that our rails give a less expensive and faster settlement than using other standard banking measures and they view this as a competitive dynamic to their competitor banks. So as we add more and more banks to this, we've got CBA that we've signed, which is the largest bank in Australia. We're getting close to turning those guys on. We like it when we enter a new market like that because all the other banks are going to have to compete with the better service. So we've got a lot cooking, but it's one of those businesses that just continue to grow and really never go backwards.

That's great. And just following up there on HSBC then, the HSBC closing down their Xyng app that was not using Dandelion or No, it wasn't. In fact, I think the last time I read, they've discontinued their Xyng app.

That's correct. Yes. Okay. Thank you.

Yes.

Thank you. Our next question Maybe they wouldn't have discontinued their app had they been a Dandelion customer.

Our next question comes from Andrew Schmidt of Citigroup. Your line is open.

Hey Mike, hey Rick, appreciate all the product details as usual. This is great. Maybe just start off nitty gritty just clarification question. The 12% to 16% EPS growth for 25%, I just want to make sure that includes the tax impact, correct, that you talked about for the first quarter? Correct. Okay. And then I guess just quick follow-up to that. I mean, it seems like, so you if you add that back on an underlying basis, the operating performance here is pretty impressive. So are there one off things that you mentioned interchange, DAF, obviously business is doing fairly well, but are there things that came into the mix this year that were kind of an upside surprise that are good guys to call out that we think about as we model out subsequent years? Just want to make sure we have the underlying trajectory correct. Thanks.

No, Andrew, I think as I said earlier, we see a great deal of continuity into the business. There's not any kind of one time items in there, any kind of real extraordinary stuff. It's just continuation. I often want to use the analogy of the real estate industry. Success in real estate is LLL, location, location, location. The success of our business is more, more, more, more, more product in more markets, more distribution points. And that's exactly what we're doing, except I would tell you that as Mike has said, we've got a much stronger focus. We kind of launched in on this five, six years ago to being more digital kind of focus, okay? We're getting to the vein of transactions, as we said, that are 20 times the industry average in revenue per transaction. So, we're getting a good price per transaction. That's made possible because there's a lot of focus on cross border transactions. They're also the transactions that are growing a little faster in that whole mix of transactions. We're connected to most every real time payment network that's out there because we've got the kind of technology to do it. So it's not any one thing that's driving it, it's just good nice consistent performance across what I would call very durable businesses.

It was also encouraging, I guess, in some respects to see somebody like a Boston Consulting Group to say, the cash to card conversion is plateauing. We've said to people that, look, we do believe that cash transactions will go down. We continue to believe that. But it looks like most of the prognosticators out there are saying that it's flattening out. Now that could certainly be a little bit of helpful to us because we've had so much focus on driving digital initiatives and whether that's a digital origination on the money transfer or as Mike said digital payout on the money transfer. So, yes, no one particular thing, it's just consistent production across the very broad and enviable set of assets.

Got it. Thanks so much guys. Good results here. Thank you. Thank you.

Thank you.

One more question, operator. One more question.

Okay. Our last question comes from Mike Grondahl of Northland. Your line is open.

Hey guys, thanks and congrats on the quarter. My question, the surcharge and interchange increases in countries over '24, roughly what was that contribution maybe to operating income dollars? And what do you roughly think it's going to be in 2025?

First of all, we won't really answer that question and dissect it that much. But I will tell you that through 2024, a number of countries and if you go back and listen to all our last three calls, it seems like every quarter another country or two opened up for either an increase in interchange fees or an ability to offer either international or domestic DAF. And so they kind of happen throughout the year. So that will give us a little bit of a bump into this year because we'll have a full year of it. But it's just I mean that market is a combination of those kinds of increases plus a few more ATMs in the developed markets and then as many ATMs as we can do into the less developed markets because they're so darn profitable. So that's And I would add to that a little bit of, let's call it reflection on what we've seen over the years. Many years ago, we saw where there was a dialogue of decreasing interchange rates and things like that. Today, we don't hear that kind of dialogue about decreasing, rather we hear a dialogue about increasing. And increasing because many of the countries are saying, you know what, it's really important that we maintain access to cash for our customers.

They even talk about the concept of stored value. When there are difficulties in the world economy, politics, wars, all this other kind of stuff, people go back to cash. And what central banks are beginning to say is that look, we cannot have our country be dependent upon only a digital form. We need to maintain cash in our business, right? So you're starting to see a lot more discussion about supporting the banks to make sure that they have cash accessible or even deposits accessible, which again kind of plays to our hand because we're going to see more debate on improving interchange rates, access fees, making depository opportunities available. And so I say that because in today's world, I think that we're seeing a more pro kind of attitude toward ensuring that the banks aren't led to a decision to just completely get rid of their ATMs. They want people to have They're being regulated to they're being required by their government to provide that service.

So I think that the to use another kind of Maxim, the kind of wind is at our back now in that regard rather than a few years ago when it was headwind for us. So again, it's part of the many things, many things that we have going that give us the confidence that we'll continue this kind of really nice double digit growth rate.

Yes. And it's only 19% of our revenue today. But the nice thing is with all the changes we're seeing, the mandated requirements from governments, the banks and so forth, I mean, it looks like it's going to be here for a long, long time.

It's great to see that pendulum swing back in your favor the last year or two and clearly Well, and you've seen the payment companies. The reason that the numbers have slowed down and the reason a lot of payment companies are at a fraction of what they were four or five years ago is because this conversion from cash to digital has plateaued. That growth rate just isn't there anymore. And so that definitely gives a longer life to our ATM business. And in the meantime, we're just going to grow the hell out of the rest of our digital business.

Great. Thanks guys.

I'd like to thank everybody for your time on the call today. We look forward to talking to you in about ninety.

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating and you may now disconnect.