Grupo Financiero Galicia reported Q1 net income of Ps. 146 billion, down 63% year-over-year, with a 1.7% annualized ROA and 8.8% ROE; guidance for full-year ROE was revised down to 12-13% (from 15%) due to integration and restructuring costs.
Loan growth remains strong, with peso financing up 88% and dollar-denominated financing up 177% year-over-year; management maintains guidance for 50% real loan growth and 30-40% deposit growth for the year.
Asset quality saw some deterioration: NPL ratio rose to 2.75% (up 66 bps YoY), mainly from the individual/consumer portfolio, but management expects stabilization by year-end; cost of risk for the bank is expected to decline to around 5-5.5% in Q4 from current 6.8%.
Integration with GaliciaMas (HSBC Argentina) is progressing ahead of schedule, with ~90% of expected synergies anticipated this year, though restructuring and IT integration costs may be higher than initially provisioned.
Macroeconomic assumptions for 2025 include GDP growth of 5.4%, inflation at 26% (Dec/Dec), and a year-end exchange rate of ARS 1,230/USD; interest rates are expected to trend lower, but high loan demand is keeping lending rates elevated relative to policy rates.