Gerdau S.A. Price & Performance (GGB)

Gerdau stands to benefit from potential U.S. steel tariffs, with about half its EBITDA sourced from North America. However, the company remains exposed to recession risks and global demand fluctuations. Analysts note that a 5% price increase in the U.S. could lift Gerdau’s EBITDA by 12%, underscoring sensitivity to policy changes.12

Gerdau’s dividend projections are mixed for 2024-2025. While the company’s financial health outpaces rivals, investments in green steel and infrastructure expansion could temporarily reduce payouts. Overcapacity in global steel and competition from lower-cost Chinese producers add pressure, but long-term gains are expected from sustainability initiatives.34

Gerdau is projected to report Q1 earnings of $0.11 per share and $2.97 billion in revenue next week. The company maintains strong liquidity and low leverage, with a market cap near $5.5 billion. Analyst consensus remains neutral, reflecting cautious optimism amid industry headwinds and stable operational metrics.56