Hilton delivered Q1 2025 adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS above expectations, despite macroeconomic headwinds; system-wide RevPAR grew 2.5% year-over-year, led by group (up 6%) and business transient (up 2%), while leisure transient was softer (up 1%).
Development momentum remained strong: 186 hotels (20,000+ rooms) opened in Q1, net unit growth of 7.2%, with conversions accounting for ~40% of openings; pipeline reached over 503,000 rooms (up 7% YoY), nearly half under construction, and strong international expansion.
Q2 2025 guidance: system-wide RevPAR expected to be roughly flat YoY due to continued macro uncertainty and the Easter holiday shift; adjusted EBITDA guidance of $940M–$960M and adjusted EPS of $1.97–$2.02.
Full-year 2025 outlook: system-wide RevPAR growth expected to be flat to up 2%, adjusted EBITDA of $3.65B–$3.71B, and adjusted EPS of $7.76–$7.94; net unit growth expected at 6%–7%; plan to return ~$3.3B to shareholders via buybacks and dividends.
Management remains optimistic about long-term growth due to the asset-light, fee-based model, robust development pipeline, and strong group segment; conversions and international markets are key drivers, with no significant impact from construction costs or trade/tariff uncertainty observed so far.