Kinder Morgan remains bullish on long-term natural gas demand, projecting U.S. demand growth of 20-28 Bcf/day by 2030, primarily driven by increased LNG export demand, with most new capacity already under construction or backed by long-term contracts.
The company reported a strong quarter, with financial results in line with expectations and natural gas performance versus budget described as "very strong." Record U.S. natural gas demand was noted in Q1, with a 10% increase in residential/commercial demand and a 15% increase in LNG demand.
Kinder Morgan added approximately $900 million to its project backlog during the quarter, bringing the total to $8.8 billion. Over 70% of new projects are focused on serving power demand, including a $430 million Elba Express pipeline extension supported by a 30-year contract.
Management does not expect recently announced tariffs to have a significant impact on project economics or 2025 results, estimating tariff impact at roughly 1% of project cost for major projects and noting that less than 10% of steel pipe costs are exposed to tariffs.
The company closed a $640 million acquisition of the Bakken gathering and processing system, which is performing in line with expectations. Kinder Morgan continues to generate strong cash flow, with nearly two-thirds of EBITDA from take-or-pay contracts and only 5% exposed to commodity prices. Management succession plans were also announced, with Dax Sanders set to become president in January 2026.