LivaNova PLC Price & Performance (LIVN)

Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures can be found in today's press release which is available on our website. We have also posted a presentation to our website that summarizes the points of today's call. This presentation is complementary to the other call materials and should be used as an enhanced communication tool. You can find the presentation and press release in the Investors section of our website under News, Events and Presentations at investor.livanova.com LivaNova. With that, I'll turn the call over to Vlad. Thank you, Brianna.

And thank you everyone for joining us today. Welcome to Livanova's conference call for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024. The year was marked by strong financial results significant innovation milestones, and a meaningful transformation of talent and culture. We delivered 11% organic revenue growth in 2024 our second consecutive year of double digit organic growth. We also expanded operating margins and increased free cash flow. We are pleased with these results and the execution that made them possible. Additionally, [indiscernible] by the clinical milestones achieved in obstructive sleep apnea difficult to treat depression, and the three year results from the largest real world evidence study of BMS therapy for epilepsy called Core VNS. [indiscernible] In obstructive sleep apnea or [indiscernible] the OSPRE clinical study met its primary efficacy and safety endpoint. This achievement unlocks a strategic growth opportunity for Livonova. We plan to bring this technology to market. And in doing so we will leverage and expand the best clinical and scientific expertise of our neuromodulation business to a new therapeutic area. We will increase investments in order to accelerate product development and ensure a competitive and differentiated product portfolio. With growing worldwide prevalence and improved diagnosis for OSA, we expect the hypoglossal nerve stimulation market to approach $2,000,000,000 by the end of the decade.

With plenty of room for treatment alternatives. Based on these factors, combined with the strong Osprey clinical data, we're confident this program will generate value for LivaNova and I'm excited by the opportunity to impact more patient lives. In difficult to treat depression or DTD, we continue our pursuit of CMS coverage. Five critical publications will support our position. Two of which were already published in December. A positive reimbursement decision would represent a meaningful opportunity for critically ill patients with DTD while further diversifying our portfolio. Finally and importantly, in 2024, Livanova embarked on a transformative journey to strengthen our talent and culture. With a clear focus on innovation and a growth mindset. To accelerate our future progress, we have prioritized attracting industry leading professionals while developing and promoting top talent from within. We Over the past year, approximately 30% of our overall director level and above positions have been filled by new hires or internal promotions. Bringing fresh perspectives and expertise to drive our next We have also enhanced our executive leadership team with five new leaders. Most recently, we welcomed Natalia Kuzmina as our Chief Human Resources Officer. With more than twenty five years of global experience in med tech and pharmaceuticals, Natalia is a proven leader who will play a pivotal role in shaping our down strategy.

I'm excited to partner with her and the entire executive leadership team as we continue building a high performing innovative organization, poised for future. For the remainder of the call, I will discuss our results and top line guidance for full year 2025. After my comments, Amit will discuss our innovation pipeline. Alex will then provide additional details on our results and 2025 guidance, I will wrap up with closing remarks before moving on to Q and A. In the quarter, we achieved 5% revenue growth and 7% organic growth versus the prior year. On a full year basis, we achieved 9% revenue growth and 11% organic growth versus the prior year. Driven by the strength in both the cardiopulmonary and epilepsy businesses. Notably, we achieved 41% growth in adjusted operating income and 21% growth in adjusted diluted earnings per share. [indiscernible] I want to acknowledge the entire organization for their dedication, to enhancing our cash generation. Our progress was evident in our strong free cash flow performance. Delivering $163,000,000 in adjusted free cash flow for the full year 2024. Now turning to segment results. For the Cardiopulmonary segment, revenue was $182,000,000 in the quarter, an increase of 11% versus the fourth quarter of twenty twenty three.

Heart lung machine revenue grew in the mid single digits despite the difficult year over year comparison. As a reminder, the HLM business grew more than 40% in the fourth quarter of twenty twenty three, due to accelerated SSENSE placements, following approval of the in line blood monitor. We were pleased to see a sequential increase [indiscernible] And continued strong pricemix. As a point of reference, Essence represented approximately 40% of our annual HLM units placed in 2024. Oxygenated revenue grew in the mid teens driven by customer demand and price. We successfully exited the year with approximately 10% increase in manufacturing capacity, and we continue to see global demand outpace supply. Cardiopulmonary revenue for the full year was $684,000,000 and grew 14%. We expect cardiopulmonary revenue to grow 7% to 8% for the full year 2025. Our forecast incorporates continued HLM growth as we launch SSENSE in new markets and continue to increase penetration in existing markets.

We expect Essence to represent approximately 60% of our annual HLM units placed in 2025. While maintaining price premium. Our forecast also reflects continued strong demand for consumables, and expanded manufacturing capacity.

We We believe there are opportunities to further accelerate growth in essence and to continue to grow market share in consumables. We are working diligently to expand oxygenated manufacturing capacity beyond the level built into guidance. Turning to epilepsy. Revenue increased 1% versus the fourth quarter of twenty twenty three. U. S. Epilepsy revenue increased 4% year over year driven by product mix price and total implants. We achieved approximately 1% growth in both new patient and replacement implants versus the prior year. Epilepsy revenue in Europe and rest of the world declined a combined 9% versus prior year. We have taken measures to improve commercial execution, and have confidence in the future growth of this business. [indiscernible] For the full year, epilepsy revenue grew 7%, U. S. Epilepsy revenue grew 8% and achieved 5% growth in both new patient and replacement implants versus the prior year. Epilepsy revenue in Europe and rest of world grew a combined 2% versus 2023 with double digit growth in rest of world offset by decline in Europe. For the full year 2025, we expect global epilepsy revenue to grow 4% to 5% Our forecast incorporates a continued mid single digit growth rate for U. S. New patient implants.

We We expect U. S. Replacement units to be flat due to the decline in total implants that occurred in 2019 and 2020. Our forecast also assumes that the rest of world and Europe regions returned to a combined high single digit growth rate in 2025. We will continue our efforts focused on narrowing the drug resistant epilepsy treatment gap and driving growth in surgical therapies for this significantly underpenetrated patient population. In summary, our growth in 2024 was driven by healthy markets the successful rollout of Essence, market share gains in cardiopulmonary consumables and pricing strategies. These drivers will continue to fuel our growth in twenty twenty five. As a result, we are guiding full year 2025 organic revenue growth between 67%.

Alex will provide additional details on our 2025 guidance later in the call. With that, I'll turn the call over to Ahmed to discuss our innovation pipeline. Thank you, Vlad. Innovation is a key focus area for LivaNova and one of our growth drivers as we look to the future. Our R and D organization is focused on enhancing our core portfolio while also advancing our difficult to treat depression, and obstructive sleep apnea programs. We are pleased with the progress we made in 2024 across our entire portfolio. In CP, we continue to make progress in developing a next generation oxygenator and enhancing capabilities for Essence. Such as adding advanced in line blood monitoring. This is designed to guide the perfusionist during the procedure to further optimize patient tailored outcomes. We're also working on various product upgrades throughout the CP portfolio. For example, we are pleased to announce the commercial launch of Protec Duo Plus in The U. S. And Canada. With the approval for use in ECMO procedures, This is our first dual lumen cannula to carry this echo indication within The U. S. The product further strengthens our full suite of CP solutions and we expect this new offering to be a growth driver in 2025.

In epilepsy, we're focusing on the next generation system with cloud connectivity and driving clinical evidence initiatives for VNS Therapy. In December, we shared interim data from our core VNS study at the American Epilepsy Society or AES. This is the largest global long term contemporary registry of VNS therapy in LivaNova its history. At ES, we presented preliminary conclusions from seven posters covering a wide variety of subjects from this dataset. Including one examining long term outcomes in patients with generalized tonic clonic seizures with CNS therapy. The data show that VNS therapy reduced frequency of generalized tonic clonic seizures with a responder rate of seventy percent and median seizure frequency reduction of eighty three percent at thirty six months. We expect a number of publications from the core dataset throughout 2025. The first of which was published in epilepsy earlier this month. The authors concluded that the results from the CORE study support VNS as a compelling therapy in drug resistant epilepsy associated with Lennox Gastro syndrome. In OSA, the OSAIR clinical study met its primary efficacy and safety endpoints. As a reminder, Osprey is the first and only randomized controlled trial for hypoglossal nerve stimulation therapy to support a U. S. Regulatory approval today.

The patients in Osprey are also the most severe ever studied in a U. S. Pivotal trial. These patients had a higher baseline mean BMI in addition to higher median [indiscernible] and higher oxygen desaturation index. Compared to other pivotal U. S. Trials. Based on these trial characteristics, and Osprey's six month clinical outcomes, were confident that our clinical data set is competitive with the current standard of care. When comparing median values from baseline, to just six months of therapy, OSFRI subjects in the active group demonstrated a sixty six point two percent reduction in AHI and a sixty three point three percent reduction in ODi. We are very pleased with these six month outcomes particularly the rapid onset of therapy with Osprey. We're excited to share the twelve month outcomes when they become available in the second quarter. We still expect to complete the PMA submission in the first half of twenty twenty five. As Vlad mentioned, are accelerating investment in the OSA product development to deliver a competitive and differentiated product portfolio. In difficult to treat depression, two publications were published in December and the remaining three were submitted. The articles highlight the significant unmet need of severely ill Medicare beneficiaries with treatment resistant depression or TRD.

With limited treatment alternatives. The RECOVER data demonstrates that VNS therapy improves symptoms, function and quality of life in CRD patients over time. These are outcome measures identified at clinically relevant by CMS. Symptoms, function and quality of life taken together present a more complete picture of treatment effectiveness than symptoms alone. All pre specified recover endpoints favored active VNS therapy and the totality of evidence supports our pursuit of Medicare coverage for VNS therapy for TRD patients with high unmet treatment need. As we have done throughout the RECOVER program, we continue to partner with CMS and inform the agency of our progress. We're working towards a formal request for coverage once all five critical manuscripts are published. This will be a formal reconsideration submission for the guidelines of the CMS national coverage determination process. In summary, we're encouraged by our progress in core innovation well as in the OSA and difficult to treat depression programs. Looking ahead, will continue to improve R and D efficiency and our cadence of innovation enabled by our new operating model and governance process. As a result, over time, our to align with the industry benchmark. With that, I will turn the call over to Alex.

Thanks, Amit. During my portion of the call, I'll share a brief recap of the fourth quarter results and provide commentary on 2025 guidance. Turning to results. Revenue in the quarter was $322,000,000 an increase of 5% on a constant currency basis and 7% on an organic basis versus 2023.

Foreign exchange in the quarter had an unfavorable year over year impact of approximately $3,000,000 or 1%. Adjusted gross margin as a percent of net revenue was 69% compared to 68% in the fourth quarter of twenty twenty three.

This year over year increase was driven by favorable product mix, and pricing.

As a reminder, fourth quarter twenty twenty three gross margin was negatively impacted by costs associated with the cybersecurity incident.

Adjusted R and D expense in the fourth quarter was $40,000,000 compared to $42,000,000 in the fourth quarter of twenty twenty three. R and D as a percent of net revenue was 13% down from 14% in the fourth quarter of twenty twenty three. The year over year decrease was largely driven by the closeout of the heart failure trial and the wind down of the ACS segment. Adjusted SG and A expense for the fourth quarter was $127,000,000 compared to $120,000,000 in the fourth quarter of twenty twenty three.

SG and A as a percent of net revenue was 40% as compared to 39% in the fourth quarter of twenty twenty three.

The year over year increase was driven by commercial activities to support growth as well as investments to enable infrastructure for scalability. Adjusted operating income was $56,000,000 compared to $48,000,000 in the fourth quarter of twenty twenty three.

Adjusted operating income margin was 17%, compared to 16% in the fourth quarter of twenty twenty three.

This increase was primarily driven by higher revenue improved operating leverage and the wind downs of the heart failure program and the ACS segment.

Adjusted effective tax rate in the quarter was compared to negative 3% in the fourth quarter of twenty twenty three. The increase is related to developments in the global tax landscape. The negative tax rate in the prior year period was impacted by the release of a valuation allowance.

Adjusted diluted earnings per share was $0.81 compared to $0.87 in the fourth quarter of twenty twenty three.

The decrease was primarily driven by the higher effective tax which was a $0.19 unfavorable impact to EPS.

Our cash balance at December 31 was $429,000,000 up from $267,000,000 at year end 2023. Total debt at year end 2024 was $628,000,000 up from $587,000,000 at year end 2023.

This increase in total debt was driven by the closing of a $345,000,000 private offering of convertible senior notes maturing in 2029.

And $230,000,000 of convertible senior notes which mature in 2025. Adjusted free cash flow for the quarter was $62,000,000 up from $61,000,000 in the prior year period. The year over year increase was primarily driven by stronger operating results and working capital improvements. Adjusted free cash flow for the full year 2024 was $163,000,000 up from $96,000,000 in the prior year period.

Representing 70% growth We saw a significant improvement in cash conversion during 2024.

Capital spend was $47,000,000 2024, compared to $35,000,000 in the prior year period.

The year over year increase was driven by IT investments and cardiopulmonary capacity expansion initiatives. Now turning to our 2025 guidance.

We forecast 2025 revenue growth on a constant currency basis and between 67% on an organic basis.

The impact of foreign currency is expected to be a headwind of one to 2% based on current exchange rate.

We forecast a full year adjusted effective tax rate of approximately 24% representing an increase of 300 basis points versus 2024.

We the range of $3.65 to $3.75 with adjusted diluted weighted average shares outstanding to be approximately 55,000,000 for the full year.

Despite the unfavorable impact caused by the step up in our adjusted effective tax rate, and the increased investment to accelerate OSA and core product development this EPS range represents growth of 9% at midpoint.

Adjusted free cash flow is expected to be in the range of $135,000,000 to $155,000,000 This range includes $90,000,000 in capital spending.

A $43,000,000 increase versus the prior year.

This increase supports critical investments in IT infrastructure, innovation, and growth including cardiopulmonary capacity expansion initiatives. Briefly, I would like to provide an update on the Sneel litigation. On 02/26/2025, Italian Supreme Court will hold a public hearing in connection with the matter. While the company does not anticipate a decision at the hearing, we expect a ruling in the first half of twenty twenty five in response to all of LiVANOVA's appeals and the counter appeal submitted by the Italian public administrations.

We look forward to the court's decision and we'll provide updates as they become available.

Please note that our full year 2025 guidance issued today does not include any potential impact of a sneer ruling.

I'd also like to call out that our guidance does not include tariff related impacts. While the global tariff dynamic is fluid, we expect the impact of tariffs to be immaterial based on what we understand today. In summary, the company's 2024 execution, and financial performance were strong. We delivered double digit organic revenue growth and more than 400 basis points of adjusted operating margin expansion. We also achieved a 20% increase in adjusted diluted earnings per share and a substantial improvement in cash generation.

This performance was realized while investing in innovation and critical capabilities.

Our 2025 guidance is balanced and we are well positioned to achieve another successful year. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Vlad. Thank you, Alex. In 2024, We delivered strong financial results achieved significant pipeline milestones and meaningfully strengthened our talented team and culture. Want to thank all our colleagues around the world for their dedication to serving customers and their patients. In 2025, We will focus on talent, innovation, [indiscernible] and operational excellence. With our solid financial foundation, clear portfolio strategy, and capable team we're well positioned to build on our momentum and drive value for all stakeholders in 2025 and beyond. With that, we're ready to open the call for questions.

Thank you. And then return to the queue if you have additional follow-up. Our first question today comes from Rick White with Stifel. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Good morning. How are you all? Thanks for taking the question. Just to start off, ton of things to ask about here. I'm sort of debating which ones. Maybe let's talk about perhaps cardiopulmonary just help us better understand and think through The U. S. And EU cardiopulmonary performance in the quarter. I mean, you came in overall a little less than we had looked for but you did better in rest of world. And you talked about it a little bit Vlad, but I appreciate the comps and the essence upgrade. But issues as a driver, but help us just better understand Where you are in that process, what happened in the in the quarter in sort of U. S. And Europe? And why you're so confident about the outlook for 2025?

Thank you. [indiscernible] Hey, Rick, it's Alex.

Look, we're actually very pleased with with our performance in the quarter. As you mentioned, we did have a challenging comp with HLM. We grew HLM placements in Q4 twenty twenty three by 40%.

So needless to say, it was a challenging comp. But we did see sequential growth in in HLM placements versus Q3. So we're pleased with that. We continue to see strong demand for the consumables. We continue to see the market demand outpaced supply So we're still operating in a back order situation. Our team has done a great job of expanding capacity. We exited the year growing our capacity at about 10%. We expect to continue to to build our capacity in 2025. And feel that we have some opportunities for continued growth. [indiscernible] some upside. So generally speaking, all of the levers that we expected in our cardiopulmonary business from performance perspective. Played out as planned.

Yes, that's helpful, Alex. Thank you. And again, a lot of ways to go here, but let me focus on the innovation pipeline. I mean, I think you're you're speaking much more clearly about the importance of the innovation pipeline And maybe two parts question. One, help us just better understand maybe you can quantify a little bit more, the impact of the launch of the the new ECMO related product the implications or the incremental potential benefit in 2025 on revenues of that new product. And just what else should we expect from what are you asking for, Vlad?

From the innovation team in 2025, what What should we be expecting in terms of incremental products that could drive [indiscernible] volume price share improved mix margin that kind of thing. You very much.

Thank you for a great question. I'll start and then I'll add Amit to build on the question. But if I step back, innovation, like I said, is one of the four strategic imperatives or pillars for [indiscernible] And if I unpacked it a little bit, the first one is really to deliver on key milestones in our epilepsy and cardiopulmonary businesses. I feel we've built very strong leadership team in research and development, but also in all the functions and support innovation. At the same time, we've improved in our processes, governance, culture, So driving milestone delivery in epilepsy and cardiopulmonary is is number one. Number two is we have two important, I would say market access milestones with FDA submission for OSA and with the CMS submission for DTD. Those are very important milestones for our future growth and the team is executing versus that. And then the third one is we continue to build innovation capabilities including business development, so including external capabilities for innovation. And so maybe Amit, you can give a little bit more So maybe I'll comment a little bit about some near term programs that we are focused on. On the FLHC side, our key strategy is to provide connected care So this year, we plan to submit for an FDA approval to initiate that process of ensuring that our VNS therapy is cloud connected.

So that's a big milestone that we're going to achieve this year. On the CP side, besides Protecto Plus, we are actively working on our next gen oxygenator, which is in the kind of midlife of product development. And we are doing continuous upgrades to Essence because as you know, it's a software driven product that gives us a lot of flexibility to add new features auxiliary equipment that essentially works together with HLM device. So we have a few launches coming up that will support the HLM system Essence with additional axillary equipment that supports it. So in both businesses, we have some near term opportunities And as Vlad mentioned in OSA, this is a big year for us. We're going to submit our PMA in the first half And with depression, we are going to conclude our submission to CMS hopefully in the coming months. And then, Rick, just to add, this is Brady.

So we expect the Spineci cannula business to grow approximately 10% and that's primarily driven by the launch of Protex UO plus Got you. Thank you so much. Our next question comes from Michael Pollack with Wolfe Research.

Your line is open.

Hi, good morning. I have a question about the sleep apnea assumptions in the guidance. How much are you spending to prep for that launch? What is the nature of that spend? Are you already at the point where you might be hiring a sales force? And is the timing such that a submission in the first part of this year sets the stage for a proper commercial launch in 2026?

So let me start with maybe just a strategic view on OSA and I will turn it over to Alex on the financials. Look, I think our strategy has been continue the sustained momentum of growth in our core and then get into faster growth markets. And OSA and DDD are enabling us to do that.

And our confidence in OSA has increased over time for a number of reasons. First, a significant unmet need with eighty five percent of patients still undiagnosed And as a consequence, the market is growing fast and we expect it to be like I said at $2,000,000,000 by the end of a decade. And clearly space for new competitors to enter. And what gives us the right to win which is an important element of our strategy is we're very pleased with our clinical data so far and and we believe our architecture of our technology is differentiated to give us competitive advantage to win in this marketplace. And then I'll turn it to Alex for the comments.

Yes, Mike, from a spend perspective, in 2024, we invested $27,000,000 behind OSA.

It was largely to completed enrollment in the trial. We are expecting to to invest an incremental $8,000,000 in 2025 However, we are shifting our investments from clinical into more into product development. As was mentioned, we're looking to drive a compelling portfolio as we We'll talk in more detail about the long range financial projections. Surrounding OSA and our Investor Day later this year.

Maybe I'll just add a little bit about your timing question. So we are going to submit the CMA first off this year. Obviously, we can't predict review timelines, but usually in new PMAs, about nine to twelve months with FDA. If everything goes well, we anticipate it would particularly due to the strength of the clinical data. And then we will do a limited commercial launch followed by a full commercial launch because we're going to have a cadence of upgrades on the future set of the device. As a follow-up, I'd like to ask about OUS epilepsy.

Disappointed in the quarter, you called out execution issues. What is the nature of those issues? And the guidance for 25% embedded acceleration how confident are you that that business can return to growth? Yes, Mike. Yes, we had some some personnel issues. They were isolated. Across different markets. We've I think we mentioned that on the previous quarter call as well. We've taken action during the quarter to remediate and we are confident in our ability to grow that business again. As you know, historically, we've grown our OUS business. At high single low double digit levels and we expect to get back to that level in growth in 2025 and moving forward.

Thank you. Our next question comes from Matt Taylor with Jefferies. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. I wanted to ask actually about revenue phasing or EPS phasing this year. Is there anything special to call out as especially with some of the volatility that we saw in the revenue trend in neuromod and CP Maybe you could just help us understand how things like tough comps etcetera can play through the year in the two businesses?

Hey, Matt. No, there's really nothing Nothing from a phasing perspective. As normal Q1 tends to be our lowest quarter and then we kind of ramp up over the course of the year with Q4 being our highest revenue quarter. But Nothing special in terms of revenue phasing. It's sort of Performance and growth.

Great. And maybe I can ask a follow-up on sleep. I think you gave a lot of color there to Mike's question, but when are we going to hear more about your specific plans for either developing that. You've also talked about potentially [indiscernible] or trying to monetize that asset.

Yes. So, Matt, thanks for the question. There will be a couple of important milestones throughout the year. So first of all, In quarter two, we will announce twelve months results of OSPRAY study And I think that will be an important milestone from clinical point of view for us. The next one would be the FDA submissions, which we plan to do before the end of quarter two. And then the third one is the Investor Day in quarter four. Where we will lay out a full execution plan, and provide long term financial outlook.

Okay. All right, great. Thank you.

Bye. Next question comes from David Rispot with Baird. Please go ahead.

Thanks for taking the question. I wanted to ask first on sneeze. I heard the comments around a potential decision or a decision at least in the first half of twenty twenty five.

Do you have a sense once that comes out, around the timing of which, if you have to make that payout, when that timing would be, is that something that would also happen in the first 'twenty five? Does it in the second half of twenty twenty five? And then I guess do you have any further visibility on to maybe the thoughts around structuring kind of a payout [indiscernible] subsequent quarters.

David, Really, we expect we would this hearing to take place tomorrow. And we don't expect a decision As I said, we do expect a decision sometime in the first half.

It's It's nearly impossible for us to speculate on the decision and hence we're we're holding to the fact that there is no liability at this point in time and hence haven't built that into our guidance. I think I've talked previously about the annualized impact. On EPS if the ruling goes against us and it's in the quantum that was originally ruled by the lower courts which was €454,000,000 We've fine tuned that given the latest interest rates and FX. And we estimate that the quarterly impact Okay. Thank you. Maybe on The epilepsy Neuromod business in 2025. Heard the comments there around a slower, I guess, weaker replacement cycle. From the 2020 weaker, I guess, down year in that segment. From COVID. When you think about the potential impact there in 2025, I heard called out 2019 and 2020 impacts on the replacement cycle for 2025. How much of that is baked or coming from that 2020 down year? And the question more so is, as as you look into 2026, is there the potential for some of that weaker 2020 volumes to drag into 2026 or is a lot of this likely going to be in 2025 and therefore can be off offset by some other segments or some other kind of new investment in the R and D pipeline in as you get into '26 and '27?

Thank you.

Yes, David, thank you. Let me start and then I'll ask Calix to build on this. But to step back, DRE is still a massive opportunity for us. And the starting point there is Just in The U. S, there are over 1,000,000 patients that are untreated. Today and that number is even larger around the world. So the the driving procedure penetration is a significant opportunity and it's placed our strength because we are the market leader in this space. So our key focus is to increase new patient implementations through better commercial execution, through bringing innovation that Anna talked about and we can unpack it a bit more, through working on market access both from reimbursement and indication [indiscernible] and through demonstrating clinical evidence of of the VNS technology. So all of that gives us confidence continue to improve the new NPIs. Which will be the main growth driver for us in 2025 and beyond.

Yes. And then to just follow-up on your question around replacements. And we've been talking about this for a while now, but we are now lapping sort of down years in total in and that's what we're factoring into our forecast for this year. So we expect replacements to be flat in 2025. And then then we'll see how the year goes and what that looks like for 2026. Our next question comes from Matt Nixit with Barclays.

Your line is open.

Thanks so much for taking the question. So Just one follow-up on on epilepsy and the comments you made.

Talk about 4% to 5% for the full year and returning [indiscernible] That kind of high single digit range?

Does that guide kind of assume that you get there by midyear Any color in terms of the mechanics and the changes that you've made regionally or anything else you could add to that and then have one follow-up?

Thanks, Matt. No, we believe that going to be, as Alex said, is going to be well balanced throughout the year. We start seeing or at the end of last year good leading indicators in terms of the team and how they're executing. And so we expect kind of coming back to normalized growth and fixing those execution issues not great really, but well balanced throughout the year. Got it. So maybe exiting the year that I single digit level OUS spend for the full year more like mid single digits across the board. Is that fair?

I would say mid single digits across the board, in the way we guided, but specifically to Europe and some of the areas where we flagged execution issues, and the rest of the world. We believe a return to high single digit and low double digit growth throughout the year.

Got it. Okay. And then just appreciate all the color on OSB, exciting looking forward to seeing the data and hearing about the strategy as it it continues to develop, but on cardiopulmonary, really strong continued growth there. You're investing in capacity. I remember the thinking was that this was somehow going to be kind of a temporary almost like it's a temporary swell in the business that over time you were kind of expecting or projecting maybe not having a disability a year ago or six months ago. That this might start to fade, but now it sounds like it might be a little more permanent or sustainable in the high single digit range. A little bit about that? Has it been an increasing confidence or Just more durable share gains there. I appreciate the color.

Thank you for the question. I think for me also joining about a year ago, was a learning journey both in terms of how we execute, but also about the market And so you're right, I have significant minimal confidence now in sustainability of that growth.

And it starts really it's about three-dimensional then one is OHP4 and we talked about them the procedure growth has been better than it was historically. And I think that's driven by the fact that maybe patients that are coming in, into Inmos in hospital setting with cardiovascular disease are more advanced and are going to open heart surgeries. Then maybe some other reasons behind it, but the market seems healthy. LivaNova from my experience is a real benchmark in pricing strategies and that really helped us specifically in our disposables business and we believe that price will continue to be a significant growth lever for us. We talked about HLM. We've gone from 40% essence placement versus all the units placed in 2024.

To 60% And then in 2024, the price upgrade was about double essence versus the previous generation. So we believe that this upgrade from 40% to 60% will be a major driver. And the way you can think about it is the year after it will be 80% and then the year after will be close to 100%. So it gives us tailwind And then finally, and I think this is where most questions were, is our market share on the disposables. And over the past couple of years, we had a very [indiscernible] estimate that we gained from low 30s to mid-30s in terms of share. And that trend continues throughout the year. I think one of the reasons that we've achieved market share gains was our ability to execute on capacity increases. And I want to bring a little bit of color to that. Last year, we were able to improve our manufacturing processes and increase shifts and drive 10% capacity increase.

This year, it's going to be continuous improvement in in our manufacturing process as well as bringing our key suppliers to an upgraded level of capacity supply for key components. So that gives us a path to 10% to 15% capacity increase this year. We are guiding What's in the guide is 10% in reuse, but I think we have a path to to 15% if our suppliers execute on their commitments. Look, and then finally 26 and beyond, we are expanding our manufacturing footprint to make sure that we can deliver on this long term. So net net, I think we are very well positioned to continue to gain market share and you made full follow some of the recent disruptions with one of the competitors And I think we're well positioned to Dick, advantage of that disruption as well. Our next question comes from David Royman with Goldman Sachs.

Please go ahead.

Thank you and good morning. I have one question just from a capital allocation standpoint and one maybe just to try to pull a lot of the moving parts here together in the quarter and the outlook. Maybe starting on the capital allocation side, Clyde, can you help us think about the decision making process to invest in different parts of the business? And I guess when you look at the success you've had with the essence upgrade, and some of the drivers within your core franchises a significant return for you from both the strategic and financial perspective if you look over to some of the pipeline initiatives, whether it's DTD or OSA, those continue to consume a significant amount of resources look like it's very hard to see a scenario where those become return accretive over time. So how do you think about investing in the core business, continuing to pursue these moonshot type R and D initiatives [indiscernible] utilizing some of that cash for external investment.

Yes. I'm just going to correct one word you used in your question. They're not moonshots anymore. And with that caveat, I'm going to start and then I'll Alex to build on this. So you're absolutely right. That number one, foundation for our future growth today is continue to sustain growth in our core businesses in epilepsy and cardiopulmonary and like I said, this the four things that will drive our growth will be NBI and epilepsy, upgrade to Essence in cardiopulmonary gaining moisture and cardiopulmonary disposables, and our pricing. So this continues to drive our growth And we have reinvested in our core to make sure that our innovation pipeline in the core and our commercial execution and our manufacturing capacity are well positioned to drive this growth in the future. [indiscernible] are important for us because they get us into the faster growth markets. And in both areas, We've achieved significant milestones that derisk our confidence in making this business as successful and creating value for our shareholders. But if I look holistically, in terms of R and D spend, for example, our R and D spend is as percent of sales is declining If we're proportionally spending more on our core businesses, and less on OS and DTD driven by the fact that our clinical spend is going And so now we are on our safe specifically, we are more in the product development spend.

And we feel very strong about our ability to win in this market. And maybe Alex, if you can bring more color.

Yes. I'd just say that first of all, we'll talk more about our capital allocation strategy during our Investor Day. But just at a high level, right, we're looking at very large underserved markets that continue to grow. Both OSA. DTD is an untapped opportunity We feel like we have the opportunity to win in that space. The clinical evidence that we've generated through these studies is very compelling. Right? And we believe that through science, we have the ability and opportunity to compete and win.

Maybe I'll just add one comment I want to emphasize something last night. I'll be very quick. So our R and D spend percent of sales will continue to go towards the benchmark lower numbers, particularly because of what Vlad said, Our clinical spend are coming to an end for both OSA and depression. That allows us to significantly reduce our knee burn on those two elements.

Appreciate all the perspective. And maybe just to kind of just want to make sure that kind of I'm taking away here the key message in the quarter and the forward outlook. Obviously, 2025 2024, excuse me, carried a period of elevated growth associated with the Essence upgrades and you've talked a lot about that. As we look at 2025, the 6% to 7% organic growth that reflects the continuation of above end market growth and then the earnings guidance that you've offered does include continued investment in OSA. So as I think about the base business, is it fair to think about 6% to 7% top line growth almost double that on the bottom line when excluding some of the investment in these new growth initiatives? And I'm not asking you for an LRP, but just Is that a fair way to think about your top line and bottom line growth objectives on a go forward basis, which is you have core growth in your existing franchises leverage through the P and L that allows you to reinvest into some of these new initiatives, but still drive earnings growth ahead of the top line? Yes, that's right, David. So we'll we'll unpack the components of our our businesses and the P and Ls associated with them.

So in the core, so cardiopulmonary and epilepsy, our objective is to continue and this has been a stated objective since since Slack got here, to continue to grow those businesses at above market growth rates. And with that continue to grow our bottom line and continue to expand our margins there at a faster pace than revenue growth. So you sort of have to compartmentalize that with the core relative to these growth opportunities, right? These growth opportunities, we'll have to nurture them. We're not naive to say that we'll have to invest behind them. But they do represent significant growth opportunities with very healthy margin profiles. So we're excited about bringing those to market. Our next question comes from Adaneda with Piper Sandler.

Please go ahead.

Good morning. Thank you for taking the questions. I wanted to start with one on the top line guidance for 2025. Specifically around what's assumed for pricing. So how much price you took in the growth contribution for calendar year 2024 And then how do we think about that 6% to 7% organic growth guidance for 25% and let's assume for price mix benefit? And then I had a follow-up.

Yes. Adam, good morning. Look, with the our price in and I exclude equipment out of this, so excluding the essence upgrade, contributed approximately 2.5 to 300 bps of growth in 2024.

Price continues to be a strong lever. Of our performance. But behind your question is do we have upside on this, then I think our opportunity to accelerate growth will come from two areas. And one is to continue gains here in our pulmonary disposables and to is accelerate beyond 60% penetration of Athens or gain additional price premium on essence. Those will be the bigger drivers. I think price, like I said, the strength of capability of Livonova.

And I think it's well reflected in the guide That's helpful, Vlad. Thanks for the color there. And for the follow-up, I'll ask about obstructive sleep apnea. It certainly sounds like there's a lot of product development work that's going on behind the scenes. I was hoping you could flesh that out for us. What exactly are you working on I guess a couple of things. Are you trying to expand or better the recharge burden Maybe just remind us about the MRI compatibility. Are you looking at a primary cell device and how quickly can those pieces of innovation come to the marketplace? Thanks for your questions. Yes, sure. So Obviously, we did the clinical trial with a design and as typical with any of these types of clinical developments, the device that you do the design within the device that you launch you do some upgrades. You look at things like manufacturability and yield and some product feature related improvements. So we are doing a lot of that. MRI compatibility is important to us. So in the full commercial launch, they were the device will be MRI compatible. That's an important element. When it comes to the primary cell or rechargeable, our position is that there is pros and cons on both.

We don't believe primary cell has just pros and rechargeable batteries cons. So there's some advantages for having rechargeable. For example, you're not restricted by the energy consumption, so you can apply more therapy because you're not worried about depleting the battery. But what we're really working on is that we have a very unique architecture six electrodes allows us to do is that it really allows you to titrate and do a personalized treatment for each patient. So a lot of our efforts are going in to how do we continuously upgrade the therapy by fully utilizing this architectural advantage we have with the six electrodes. So our energy is going through more future sets and improvement of therapy and MRI compatibility as I said, will be part of the launch. But we're not actively working on a primary cell because it will negate some of the architectural advantage we have if we have energy restrictions in the battery.

Very helpful color.

Thank you. We're out of time for further questions. So I'll pass you back to Vladimir Magitsaria for any closing remarks.

Thank you everybody for joining the call today for thoughtful questions. And on behalf of our entire team, we certainly appreciate your support and interest in Livonova. Have a great day ahead. Thank you.

This concludes today's call. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect your line.