AG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. Price & Performance (MITT)

Except as required by law, we are not obligated and do not intend to to update or to review or revise any forward looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events, During the call today, we will refer to certain non GAAP financial measures. Please refer to our SEC filings for reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures We will also reference the earnings presentation that was posted to our website this morning. To view the slide presentation, turn to our website, www.agmit.com and click on the link for the Q4 twenty twenty four earnings presentation on the homepage.

Again, welcome to the call. Thank you for joining us today. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to TJ. Thank you, Jenny. I'm pleased to report our fourth quarter and full year financials. Shows our continued execution of our core business strategy and industry leading results.

We're able to deliver these strong outcomes amidst a challenging macroeconomic backdrop proving the company has a more differentiated strategy than the average REIT. Performance during the fourth quarter. We saw book value move higher by 0.6% from $10.58 to 10.64 while paying our $0.19 dividend and producing a healthy economic return on equity of 2.4% for the quarter. For the full year 2024, we were able to increase our quarterly dividend by 5.6% earlier in the year and delivered an 11.7% Although it is too early in our process to comment on February, book value was flat for the month of January. Now taking a step back, I've been reflecting on where Mitt was when I became CEO in October 2022. And where mid is today. Nearly every quarter we presented earnings to you during this period, I've said the same thing. Volatile, challenging and turbulent market conditions. In spite of this, we are protecting and growing this book value. This consistent theme is due to our conviction that if we continue to execute on what we do best, we while also being unafraid to be dynamic and seize on compelling opportunities for growth, we can not only protect but also grow book value in turn our earnings profile for our shareholders.

Remain steadfast to our disciplined programmatic securitization strategy. In the quarter right before I became CEO, our economic leverage was 2.7 turns. Now it's 1.4 turns and that's been relatively steady we have consistently executed securitizations a quarterly basis. Controlling our outstanding warehouse balances, and generating additional capital for reinvestment. Of the other reasons for our strong financial performance in 2024 is a reflection on MIT's unique positioning. We are able to be nimble in asset allocation, multiple flavors of non agency credit Starting with NonQM, then being a first mover in securitizing agency eligible non owner occupied, to most recently being a leader in the emergence of home equity or second lien lending. Lastly, December marked the one year anniversary closing the WMC acquisition, which has been a resounding success to date in terms of gaining scale for our shareholders. Total stockholder returns from the close to the transaction has been more than 50% This transaction showcases the power of our external manager, TPG, which we believe doesn't get the market doesn't fully appreciate. Our manager gives us not just financial support AG evidenced during the WMC also scale. Along with Mitt, TPG's broader structured credit and specialty finance business manages $18,000,000,000 of AUM.

So while MIT may be $550,000,000 of equity, our manager's strong market presence allows us to source and punch way above mid weight class in isolation. For all these reasons, I'm looking forward to another great year for Mitt. As we remain committed to our growth initiatives and creating value for our shareholders. Now I'll turn the call over to Nick. Good morning. Thank you, TJ. Today, I want to build upon TJ's remarks and unpack why we believe in the Mid Advantage. A topic that we have not emphasized enough in the past. We cannot talk about this topic without diving deep into TPG Angela Gordon's capabilities. [indiscernible] more specifically, the capabilities of its structured credit and specialty finance group, which provides unparalleled access expertise and resources to meet. I'll take these one by one. Starting with Access. PPG and Gil Gordon has an edge in access to capital, [indiscernible] [indiscernible] On the capital side, we are an important counterparty to most. If not all, large investment banks along with many smaller entities that play an important role in shaping the residential finance sector. These relationships are important conduit to some of the best opportunities in the space. While these relationships are important, we take pride in our connectivity with the broader residential finance ecosystem.

This is a critical part of our sourcing advantage. We have deep relationships across this sector ranging from the largest non bank originators to niche venture capital types. Moving on to expertise. Our deep bench of structured credit and mortgage finance professionals includes over four dozen professionals across trading and origination, research and analytics, asset management, banking, finance and operations along with dedicated legal and software engineering teams. All this allows us to attach the residential mortgage finance space in ways most cannot. Our core competencies span multiple of the broader residential mortgage finance segment, [indiscernible] NonQM, EPLs agency eligible loans specifically cohorts where Fannie and Freddie have punitive credit costs relative to private capital, home equity including traditional products like closed end seconds HELOCs, along with a new and growing niche digital HELOC sector. And credit sensitive loans, including non performing, reperforming, scratch and dent, [indiscernible] Tangential to the residential mortgages, we also have the ability to one integrated portfolio company, Arc Home, as fully licensed owned Fannie Freddie and Ginnie MSR with in place subservicing contracts and all the necessary technologies. We also own and operate various types of specialty finance companies including residential mortgage originators like Arkholm in which Mick owns 45%.

Lastly, let's move on to resources that make all this possible. Reiterating what TJ said, MITT is part of a much bigger ecosystem through its manager TPG and Zalgorton. Which has substantial resources to support its more than $90,000,000,000 AUM across products including To name a few key resources, TPG and ZOgordon provides MIT access to one, a custom built residential mortgage asset manager Red Creek. Instead of buying one, TPG Angel Gordon invested the time and capital into building this resource so it could be tailored to fit the needs of MIT and other TPG AG products.

Two, a state of the art data science department that focuses on everything from digesting large datasets to help inform market views to cutting edge technology applications. [indiscernible] three, a deep bench of residential mortgage bankers, contract finance experts, traders financing specialists some of the best in house legal professionals in the business. And All this is just the tip of the iceberg. The recent MITT track record shows how all these key ingredients come together to create and execute the company's strategy. A few notable highlights include [indiscernible] the successful acquisition of WMC, which increased MITT's market cap by over 45% and propelled MIT into the 3,000 last June. Two, the fluid transition of equity deployment from NonQM. [indiscernible] [indiscernible] most recently, home equity loans, which was instrumental in three, the disposition of mortgage servicing rights at our home four, the rotation of legacy credit sensitive loan investments and five, the launch of new channels and products at Arc Home that are favored focused on inpalli liquidity and service with a focus and operational leverage. Before moving on, a brief comment in our home. For all the reasons that MIT benefits from PPG and Gorgon's resources, ARC Home does as well.

While it's had its challenges, Arcon has reached a pivotal point in transitioning to profitability. Over the last year, we continued to invest in talent, including a new CEO COO and Chief Production Officer. We believe that these investments to fuel further growth and believe they were an important part of the company having a [indiscernible] So in conclusion, the access expertise and the resources We strive to provide our shareholders with the best risk adjusted returns in the residential sector. And to make this happen, Nick can be agile in ways that most other residential mortgage REITs can't. We do not want to be another conduit for investors to access liquid agency exposure on a hedged and levered basis. We also do not want to aggregate large operationally and capital intensive origination [indiscernible] That we don't believe they are justified by our primary goal of providing the best risk adjusted returns. Turning the call over to Anthony. Thank you, Nick, and good morning. 2024 was a successful year for the company. Our performance captured strong asset appreciation, our investment portfolio and substantial synergies realized from the WMC acquisition. We're also very active. Growing our investment portfolio by 13% to $6,700,000,000 dollars executing six securitizations, incorporating home equity loans into our product mix, which has been impactful to our profitability, And lastly, we successfully raised senior unsecured notes to pay off the legacy WMC convertible notes.

Overall, book value increased year over year by 4.3% generating an annual economic return of 11.7% for our shareholders. While earnings available for distribution or EAD of $0.76 per share cover the twenty twenty four dividends declared of $0.75 During the fourth quarter, book value increased by approximately 0.6% to $10.64 per share producing a 2.4% economic return when considering the $0.19 quarterly dividend. The increase in book value is primarily driven by gains on our investment activity in home equity loans, coupled with gains on portfolio hedges due to rising benchmark rates offsetting unrealized mark to market losses on our investment portfolio. As a result, we recorded GAAP net income available to common shareholders of approximately 8,800,000.0 or $0.3 per share.

We generated EAD of $0.18 per share for the fourth quarter. Net interest income inclusive of interest earned on our hedge portfolio was $6 per share, up $0.66 compared to $0.14 in the prior year quarter. Net interest income inclusive of interest earned on our hedge portfolio was $0.66 per share, up $0.14 from $0.14 in the prior year quarter. Net interest income inclusive of interest earned on our hedge portfolio was $0.66 which exceeded our operating expenses and preferred dividends of $0.46 generating earnings of $0.2 per share. Although ARCOM contributed a loss of $0.02 to EAD, there has been continued strength in volumes and improvement in margins driving Arc Home to profitability in December. We remain active during the fourth quarter acquiring 3 and $153,000,000 of home equity loans. These purchases were offset by the sale of $185,000,000 of home equity loans where we reinvested capital returned from the sale into non agency 1.4 turns, which slightly declined from 1.5 turns in September and is relatively low on a historical basis. We've continued to prudently manage our leverage exposure on residential mortgage loans through our programmatic securitizations. [indiscernible] the quarter with only $190,000,000 of warehouse financing outstanding. Lastly, we ended the quarter total liquidity of approximately $137,000,000 consisting of $119,000,000 of cash and $18,000,000 of unencumbered agency RMBS.

This concludes our prepared remarks and we'd now like to open the call for Operator?

Thank you. And we will take our first question from Bose George with KBW. Please go ahead.

Hey, guys. Good morning. How would you characterize your excess capital? You noted the cash and liquidity Beyond just when you think about deployable capital, how would you characterize that? So when we think about our deployable capital, we have CRE positions that will mature later this year call it summerish time into fall, that represents probably $20,000,000 $25,000,000 of equity capital returns In addition, away from rotation, really newfound equity When we acquired WMC, there were some inefficient financings that will roll off This summer, which will release another sort of $25,000,000 $30,000,000 of equity Away from that, there's another $30,000,000 to $50,000,000 of equity that can be rotated. So that sort of comes out to a range of call it, $75,000,000 to $100,000,000 that can be rotated or newly deployed into the coming year. Okay, great. And then just in terms of the corporate leverage the level of preferred, etcetera, how are you thinking about that now? Is that is this a level you're comfortable with? Any changes you need to make Yes. I mean, I think we obviously saw the first kind of new preferred deal come out last week, I believe, and it's been a while there.

So we're we're actively monitoring the market. I mean, we've been running the company sort of with these ratios for quite some time now. So I think But we're obviously comfortable there and I think we've shown kind of good performance of managing that overall leverage ratio to the common. Okay, great. Thanks.

Thank you. And we will take our next question from Doug Harter UBS. Please go ahead. Hi, thanks. It's Marissa Lobo on for Doug. I was hoping you could speak to us a little more about the relative attractiveness of NonQM versus home equity today? And how the securitization and financing markets compare? Yes, look, I think you have to stepping back, home equity is relatively [indiscernible] and we see a very large addressable market we think we're in the early innings there. And I think when you think about being in the early innings, oftentimes there's sort of a first mover advantage. So So we continue to think that that's the case, albeit maybe not as much as little some time AG, On the NonQM side, it's a market that continues to grow. I think maybe has grown more than others. Maybe most have thought and we still find relative value there. But as you can see from our prepared remarks, sort of leaning in more on the home equity side.

Okay. Thank you. And also on the preferred, any thoughts on the preferred given the increased cost from rolling to floating? [indiscernible] obviously knew that was coming. I think as Nick mentioned, we've got some other financings that we see coming down the pipe this year that I think will also help offset That increased floating rate. So we're looking at it at a corporate level. But we sort of had that floating rate switching in the model. So we're prepared for it.

Appreciate the answers. Thank you. And we will take our next question from Eric Hagen with BTIG. Please go ahead.

This is Jake Katzicos on for Eric. For taking my questions. On Slide 14, you show that the yield on the securitized non agency loans was 5.7% I'm curious if you could kind of talk about what would have to happen and or for that yield to increase Thank you. Yes. So those are really our kind of on balance sheet GAAP accounting. So that's really the securitization. So you're going to see that's really a function of 2021, 2022 type origination that [indiscernible] term financed out. So that number is not going to move a lot until we either rotate out of the call the deals and sell the loans, etcetera. The ROE out to the right is probably what I would point to. That's effectively neutralizing the lower coupon on the mortgages with obviously [indiscernible] Financing, that was a issue at the time. Got you. Thank you. And then do you expect the cost of funds for the warehouse lines to drop further? And that were to happen, would that potentially encourage you to get more active in building your pipeline? I mean, we've definitely seen the larger investment banks get more aggressive [indiscernible] Financing terms. Post the term of the New Year.

So we're actively taking advantage of that I think it's really just about the overall kind of A to Z ROEs, like we're not the warehouse is only part of the lifecycle of the loan coming on to the balance sheet. Of MIT. So it's really also about where The securitization markets are pricing, probably more so than just the gestation warehouse terms. Great. You so much.

Thank you. And we will take our next question from Brad Kupuzzi with Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.

Thank you for taking my questions. Just kind of want to get high level thoughts on origination volume in ARCOM into 2025. Obviously, industry origination volumes have come down in recent months given the backup in rates. Just kind of wanted to get your thoughts there as we look into 2025?

Thanks.

Yes, look, we continue to think that Arc Home's business model is somewhat immune or more immune than the broader mortgage market. Specifically sort of more liquid products like agencies and and jumbos and GOVI origination, I think it's been well publicized that that the non QM and non AC markets are actually growing at a good amount relative to the other spaces and we continue to expect that to be the case. And beyond that, as we mentioned in the prepared remarks, the investment we've made in the growth of that company And we expect sort of the combination of those two to really pay dividends in the future. So our expectation and what we've mapped out for this year is continued continued growth no matter what the market is and obviously, interest rates matter, but we think that the company will be resilient Got you. I appreciate the commentary. And then last question for me. Can you speak on your current thoughts around the dividend and just what you would need to see and your rate outlook to continue covering any to covering the dividend and EAG? Yes. So I mean, I think we saw this in the past.

When we think about the dividend, We've really been bifurcating company's portfolio in sort of the what we call the investment portfolio and then obviously the equity interest in our home. And to Nick's point earlier, we definitely faced headwind in terms of sort of negative EAD contribution coming from ARC over the past call it, four to eight quarters We're seeing that effectively kind of come to neutral now over December, January. So we flipped from negative to a positive. It's not a huge positive, right? So I think we're sort of in this transitional phase where where let's just call it our numbers breakeven. And then I think AG we fast forward, into 2025, we expect that to be more of a positive contributor. So if you look back at The last year's, as an example, performance, I think that is the sort of tail in that, we would need to think about having a composite EAD north of sort of where the I hope that answers the question. Yes, that's perfect. I appreciate it.

Thank you. It appears that we have no further questions at this time. I will now turn the program back to our presenters for any additional or closing remarks.

Thank you everyone for joining us and for your questions. We appreciate it and look forward to speaking with you again next quarter. Have a great day.

Thank you. This does conclude today's presentation. You for your participation.