US Treasury 10 Year Note ETF Price & Performance (UTEN)

The 10-year Treasury yield ended at 4.31% on March 14, while shorter-term yields remained lower. This persistent yield inversion is often seen as a recession predictor. Historically, such inversions have preceded economic downturns by months, raising concerns about the U.S. economic outlook.12

Longer-duration bonds have faced significant pressure, with yields rising sharply. Fund managers are divided on whether to sell or hold these assets. Meanwhile, some see this as a buying opportunity, particularly in European government debt, as economic growth forecasts improve and spreads tighten.34

Recent stock market declines have been fueled by fears of a potential recession and the impact of new tariffs. The Dow dropped nearly 900 points, while the Nasdaq suffered its worst day since 2022. Treasury yields have also fallen, reflecting growing concerns about economic stability.5